Race Rating
Toss-up
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Competitive
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
PA-07 House winner?
$424.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 47.7% | $2.39M | |
| 12% | 42.8% | $4.36M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$424.2K
24h volume
$48.0K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Pennsylvania 7th District · US House
Toss-upCompetitiveDistrict contextCompetitive House rating
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Ryan Mackenzie (R)
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Why it matters
The district is rated Toss-up, so turnout and late-cycle spending may have outsized effects.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Pennsylvania’s 7th District is being described as one of the most competitive House races in 2026. The seat is held by Republican Ryan Mackenzie and is seen as a key test of GOP strength in a swing area. Trump’s visit adds to the attention, but no result or clear polling lead is reported. The news keeps the seat looking highly competitive, with no clear shift in the race. It may slightly reinforce interest in a possible Democratic pickup, but the provided summaries do not show a polling lead.
Articles
BIBusiness Insider13 hours ago
What's at Stake in the 2026 Midterms for Elon Musk, Tech, Economy
From inflation and AI backlash to Elon Musk's record spending on Republicans, here's what's at stake in the 2026 midterm elections.
MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 14 hours ago
Democrats favored in 3 Pa. House races as blue wave predictions grow
One forecast has Democrats with a 62% chance to win the Senate and an 83% chance to capture the House.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
TIThe Intercept6 months ago
Philadelphia Could Add to the Squad
Progressives including AOC united around Chris Rabb in the tight four-way race. The winner is almost guaranteed to prevail in November.
CNCable News Network7 days ago
How to tell if Democrats are heading for a wave election in the House
House Democrats appear to be flirting with one of the biggest popular vote wins in decades. Follow these races on election night to know how well Democrats are doing.
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer8 days ago
The Inquirer’s 2026 General Election Endorsement Guide
The Editorial Board vetted candidates in key races to help you decide.
BSBaltimore Sun22 days ago
High prices test Latino voter loyalties in PA battleground district
Victor Martinez runs a Spanish-language radio station in Pennsylvania’s Lehigh Valley and talks about voters' frustration with high prices.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.7%
42.8%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$5M
$3.8M
$2.5M
$1.3M
$0
R. Mackenzie
B. Brooks
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
R. MackenzieRyan E. Mackenzie$4.36MContrib: $2.54M
$2.94MSpent: $1.52M
$84.6KLast period: $299.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
B. BrooksBob Brooks$2.39MContrib: $2.35M
$1.02MSpent: $1.37M
$76.3KLast period: $1.19M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
PA-07 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-7?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:51 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for PA-7?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:51 AM UTC