State Lean
Strong Democratic
Not a core swing state
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Compare the candidates' saved odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds |
|---|---|
| 38% | |
| 34% | |
| 8% |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$22.4K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
New York · US Senate
State Lean
Strong Democratic
Not a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 23, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early voting generally runs from 10 days before Election Day through two days before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
June
WED 28
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
There are no direct updates on the 2028 New York Democratic Senate nomination in these summaries. The recent news is mostly about other Senate races and one separate 2028 presidential speculation item. That leaves this market with little new information. Little to no direct impact on this New York nomination market from the provided news. The updates are mostly about other races or a separate presidential contest, so they do not clearly shift the odds here.
Final polls give Flanagan the edge over Tafoya as Democrats fight to hold Minnesota’s open Senate seat.

Just a day before the midterms, Kalshi traders give Democrats a 74% of controlling the Senate.

In order to flip the Senate, Democrats need to keep control of their 47 seats and gain four more.

Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. on Election Day. While early results will start rolling in Tuesday night, the final outcome for more competitive races might not be known until ranked choice tabulation takes place Nov. 18.
The nonpartisan political handicapper Cook Political Report has shifted its rating of the 2026 Michigan Senate race to lean Democratic. In a post Monday on
Adam Hamilton said Sunday he'd welcome support from the president's former voters.
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
Washington Democrats didn’t just put a second “Dan Sullivan” in the Alaska Senate race — they also boosted Republican Gerald Heikes, a perennial candidate for office, with the help of Chuck Schumer and a longtime Alaska Democrat consultant named Jim Lottsfeldt in a year-long effort to boost Democrat Mary Peltola in Tuesday’s general election. | Politics
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
No verified final result is available for this race.
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