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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 77% | |
| 23% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Kris Mayes is still pushing ahead with the 2020 fake elector case while seeking reelection. She is dismissing the current indictment and plans to seek a new grand jury indictment. The case remains a political issue because Republican challengers have said they would drop it if elected. The case keeps Mayes in the spotlight and could cut both ways: it may help her with voters who support the prosecution, but it also gives opponents a clear attack line. Overall, it adds some uncertainty rather than a clear shift.
Republicans can say "goodbye" to their gains among Hispanic and Latino men from 2024, CNN's data analyst Harry Enten said.
Congressman Andy Biggs emerged as one of the big winners Tuesday night as Arizona Republicans chose nominees to face Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs and Attorney General Kris Mayes in November.
Arizona Republicans are choosing nominees to challenge Democrats in key state offices. Candidates include U.S. Reps. Andy Biggs and David Schweikert, who are vying to take on Democratic Gov. Katie...
Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
Arizona Republicans will choose a nominee in a state primary Tuesday to challenge Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in November.
Arizona Republicans will choose a nominee in a state primary Tuesday to challenge Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in November.
Amish Shah and Marlene Galán-Woods, the two Democratic frontrunners in a swing Arizona congressional district, sparred in a TV debate.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
