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Who will win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican Primary?

Jul 22, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 8 daysLast updated: Jul 14, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

$102.9K

JUL 22, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$102.9K

24h volume

$2.0K

A. Biggs99%

C. Ames1%

C. Grey1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

The latest poll has Dave Schweikert ahead by 6.6 points, but Andy Biggs is still the odds leader.

News

AINews Summary

Andy Biggs remains the main Republican frontrunner for Arizona governor, backed by Donald Trump. David Schweikert is still in the race and has been pressing his case in debates ahead of the July 21 primary. The winner will become the GOP nominee to face Gov. Katie Hobbs. Biggs’ endorsement and frontrunner status likely keep him favored in the nomination market. Schweikert’s challenge adds some uncertainty, but the latest reporting does not show a clear shift away from Biggs.

Articles

NNJ.com3 days ago

There's a major shift toward Democrats in 4 of 5 governor races: Cook Political Report

A new analysis showed that Democrats could take the majority in 2026 when it comes to the governor’s map.

SIStaten Island Advance7 days ago

In blow to Newsom, shock pick has huge lead in 2028 Democratic primary poll

Big competition for California governor who is eyeing a White House run.

TAThe Arizona Republic11 days ago

These candidates for governor are trying to make Arizona red again

Congressmen Schweikert and Biggs are hoping Republican voters will pick them to challenge Gov. Hobbs in November. The Gaggle compares the candidates.

NNewsweek3 days ago

Midterm Races Shift Toward Democrats in Arizona, Ohio, Maine, New Mexico

Democrats say "momentum is building across the country up and down the ticket" as new polling and ratings shift key gubernatorial contests.

NNewsweek8 days ago

Who Could Replace Graham Platner in Maine Race? Nine Possible Contenders

Democrats may still be able to replace Graham Platner as the Maine Senate nominee after new allegations were made against him.

SSFGATE27 days ago

GOP candidates pitch themselves as the person to beat Arizona's Democratic governor

The two Republican congressmen running for Arizona governor are pitching themselves as the only candidate with broad enough voter appeal to unseat Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs amid the state’s...

NNewsweek27 days ago

Byron Donalds’ Chances of Winning Florida Governor’s Seat, New Poll Shows

Democrats have not won a statewide election in Florida since 2018 and have struggled as the state shifted toward Republicans.

BNBreitbart News Network27 days ago

GOP candidates pitch themselves the person to beat Arizona's Democratic governor

The two Republican congressmen running for Arizona governor are pitching themselves as the only candidate with broad enough voter appeal to unseat

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

51.2%

21.4%

12%

A. Biggs

K. Robson

D. Schweikert

S. Neely

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Biggs	Robson	Schweikert	Neely
Polling Average	Biggs+29.7	51.2%	21.4%	12.0%	2.4%
NextGen PollingJul 8 - 9	Biggs+55.7	66.1%	–	10.4%	3.8%
Noble Predictive InsightsJun 29 - Jul 1	Biggs+50.0	60.0%	–	10.0%	2.0%
NextGen PollingJun 16 - 17	Biggs+45.9	56.6%	–	10.7%	3.2%
Stealth AnalyticsMay 13 - 15	Biggs+46.0	55.0%	–	9.0%	1.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 5 - 7	Biggs+30.0	48.0%	–	18.0%	–
NextGen PollingApr 13 - 16	Biggs+42.0	52.0%	–	10.0%	2.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsFeb 23 - 26	Biggs+21.0	40.0%	–	19.0%	–
Center for Excellence in PollingJan 22 - 24	Biggs+9.0	28.0%	19.0%	12.0%	–
Emerson CollegeNov 8 - 10	Biggs+32.9	49.7%	16.8%	7.9%	–
GrayhouseOct 26 - 28	Biggs+24.0	43.0%	19.0%	2.0%	–
Pulse Decision SicenceSep 8 - 10	Biggs+24.0	55.0%	31.0%	–	–
Pulse Decision SicenceSep 8 - 10	Biggs+38.0	61.0%	–	23.0%	–