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2026 Wisconsin Democratic Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 11, 2026Market closes: Aug 11, 11:59pm ET (Aug 12, 3:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

$103.8K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average
David CrowleyDemocratic	92%	11.0%
Francesca HongDemocratic	10%	27.7%
Mandela BarnesDemocratic	1%	19.5%

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$103.8K

24h volume

$1.1K

D. Crowley92%

F. Hong10%

M. Barnes1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 11

Prediction market closes

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 11, 2026 and Aug 5, 2026.

Polling Average

40%30%20%10%0%

27.7%

19.5%

11.0%

F. Hong

M. Barnes

D. Crowley

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Hong	Barnes	Crowley
Polling Average	Hong+8.2	27.7%	19.5%	11.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 4 - 5	Hong+19.0	52.0%	–	33.0%
State NavigateJul 23 - 26	Hong+29.0	44.0%	14.0%	15.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 20 - 22	Hong+20.0	35.0%	15.0%	14.0%
Impact ResearchJul 18 - 20	Hong+13.0	39.0%	26.0%	11.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 18 - 20	Hong+8.0	38.0%	30.0%	9.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8 - 16	Hong+11.0	26.0%	15.0%	–
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4	Hong+2.0	30.0%	28.0%	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+15.2	7.3%	23.4%	8.2%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+15.6	8.5%	24.1%	8.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18	Hong+3.0	14.0%	11.0%	3.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16	Hong+9.0	27.0%	18.0%	6.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19	Hong+1.0	11.0%	10.0%	3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

David Crowley

Congressional Black Caucus PAC

Congressional Black Caucus PAC endorsed David Crowley for Wisconsin governor.

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Congresswoman Gwen Moore

Congresswoman Gwen Moore endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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Operating Engineers Local 139

Operating Engineers Local 139 endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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IBEW Wisconsin State Conference

IBEW Wisconsin State Conference endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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Wauwatosa Mayor Dennis McBride

Wauwatosa Mayor Dennis McBride endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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Sheboygan Mayor Ryan Sorenson

Sheboygan Mayor Ryan Sorenson endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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Gov. Tony Evers

Gov. Tony Evers endorsed David Crowley for Wisconsin governor after Crowley reentered the race.

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South Milwaukee Mayor Jim Shelenske

South Milwaukee Mayor Jim Shelenske endorsed David Crowley.

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Shorewood Village President Ann McKaig

Shorewood Village President Ann McKaig endorsed David Crowley.

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Ryan Strnad

Ryan Strnad endorsed David Crowley for governor after ending his own campaign.

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Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson

Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association, IAFF Local 215

Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association, IAFF Local 215 endorsed David Crowley for governor.

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Francesca Hong

More than 25 local elected officials and community leaders

More than 25 local elected officials and community leaders endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

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Voces de la Frontera Action

Voces de la Frontera Action endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin in the Democratic primary.

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Citizen Action of Wisconsin

Citizen Action of Wisconsin endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

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Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance

Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

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Our Wisconsin Revolution

Our Wisconsin Revolution endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

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Nina Turner

Nina Turner endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

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Our Revolution

Our Revolution endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin.

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Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin.

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Milwaukee Democratic Socialists of America

Milwaukee Democratic Socialists of America endorsed Francesca Hong in the Wisconsin governor race.

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Wisconsin Electoral Socialists

Wisconsin Electoral Socialists endorsed Francesca Hong for Wisconsin governor.

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Mandela Barnes

UAW

UAW endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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AFT Local 212

AFT Local 212 endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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The Next 50

The Next 50 endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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NRDC Action Fund

NRDC Action Fund endorsed Mandela Barnes in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

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End Citizens United

End Citizens United endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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UFCW Local 1473

UFCW Local 1473 endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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2026 Wisconsin Democratic Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

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Election Dates and Deadlines

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Candidate Endorsements

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