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Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 15 daysLast updated: Jul 28, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

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AUG 12, 2026

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Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$2.2M

24h volume

$27.1K

F. Hong81%

D. Crowley10%

M. Barnes8%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

David Crowley’s nominee odds rebounded to 10% after the new lawsuit over spoiled absentee ballots kept his reentry and Evers backing in play, adding another tradable twist to the Democratic primary.

10%7%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Fresh reporting shows Democrats are pushing to let absentee voters recast ballots and the RGA is adding more money to boost Francesca Hong, extending the volatility around the Aug. 11 primary.

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Fresh AP and WisPolitics reporting show the absentee-ballot fight is still active and Republicans are now spending more to shape the crowded primary, keeping the Hong-Crowley race tradable ahead of the Aug. 11 vote.

News

AINews Summary

David Crowley is back in the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary and has picked up an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. The race was reshaped by Sara Rodriguez’s exit over campaign finance problems, leaving the field more open ahead of the Aug. 11 primary. Evers’ endorsement and Crowley’s return could improve his standing, but the late exits keep the race unsettled. The field still looks fluid, so uncertainty remains high.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner3 days ago

Democratic establishment fights back against socialists

Democratic leaders are circling the wagons around Rep. Haley Stevens (D-MI) against her left-wing opponent, Abdul el Sayed.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette4 days ago

Eric Toney slams Hong over shooting comments, calls her irresponsible

Republican attorney general candidate Eric Toney took to social media calling comments Francesca Hong made about a police shooting "appalling."

ADAnchorage Daily News4 days ago

Democrats seize on AI data center backlash that’s dividing rural Republicans in places like Texas

The backlash to energy-guzzling server warehouses is also shaping other statewide campaigns from Arizona to Ohio to New York, and even giving Democrats a glimmer of hope in Texas.

TNThe New York Times1 day ago

Democratic Socialist Francesca Hong Rises in Crowded Wisconsin Governor Race

Democrats must decide what brand to put forward: an establishment name or a candidate on the left who has garnered excitement.

WWEAU5 days ago

Marquette Law School poll: nearly half of voters still undecided in Wisconsin governor Democratic primary

A new Marquette Law School poll shows Francesca Hong leading the Democratic primary field for Wisconsin governor, with 45% of voters still undecided.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette6 days ago

DSA views, data centers, Trump and more takeaways from Marquette poll

The Marquette poll asked for the first time about views of democratic socialism and found President Donald Trump at a new low net approval rating.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette6 days ago

How Wisconsin Dems fare in head-to-head matchups with Tom Tiffany

A new Marquette University Law School poll included surveys on head-to-head matchups for governor between Tom Tiffany and the field of Democrats.

ADAnchorage Daily News6 days ago

Messy primaries plague both major political parties, causing chaos and confusion in the midterms

With a little more than three months to go, both parties are grappling with self-inflicted wounds and messy missteps that have complicated their paths to victory in key races.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution10 days ago

David Crowley reenters battleground Wisconsin’s Democratic governor primary with Gov. Evers’ backing

David Crowley has reentered Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor, two weeks after suspending his campaign. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, has gained last-minute support from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers. Evers initially declined to endorse but now backs Crowley, highlighting his leadership skills. The governor's race is crucial for Democrats aiming to control Wisconsin's state government. Crowley faces competition from candidates like democratic socialist Francesca Hong and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. The primary, set for Aug. 11, is a key test for Democrats in this critical swing state.

TAThe Associated Press10 days ago

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers backs David Crowley in Democratic primary

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers endorses Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley in the state's Democratic gubernatorial primary. This comes a day after Lt. Gov.

Polls

Polling Average

25%20%15%10%5%0%

21.9%

20.8%

10.4%

7.5%

F. Hong

M. Barnes

S. Rodriguez

J. Kaul

D. Crowley

K. Roys

J. Brennan

M. Hughes

B. Hulsey

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Hong	Barnes	Rodriguez	Kaul	Crowley	Roys	Brennan	Hughes	Hulsey
Polling Average	Hong+1.1	21.9%	20.8%	10.4%	8.0%	7.5%	2.8%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
Public Policy PollingJul 20 - 22	Hong+20.0	35.0%	15.0%	–	–	14.0%	5.0%	3.0%	–	–
Impact ResearchJul 18 - 20	Hong+13.0	39.0%	26.0%	–	–	11.0%	7.0%	6.0%	–	–
Wedgewood PollsJul 18 - 20	Hong+8.0	38.0%	30.0%	–	–	9.0%	–	–	–	–
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8 - 16	Hong+11.0	26.0%	15.0%	11.0%	–	–	1.0%	2.0%	–	–
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4	Hong+2.0	30.0%	28.0%	19.0%	–	–	–	–	–	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+13.0	7.3%	23.4%	10.4%	–	8.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+11.8	8.5%	24.1%	12.3%	–	8.0%	3.9%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18	Hong+3.0	14.0%	11.0%	3.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16	Hong+9.0	27.0%	18.0%	6.0%	–	6.0%	–	–	–	–
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19	Hong+1.0	11.0%	10.0%	6.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12	Barnes+8.0	5.0%	28.0%	20.0%	–	7.0%	2.0%	0.0%	1.0%	1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21	Barnes+13.0	–	21.0%	6.0%	8.0%	6.0%	1.0%	–	2.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements
Fundraising

Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Democratic establishment fights back against socialists

Eric Toney slams Hong over shooting comments, calls her irresponsible

Democrats seize on AI data center backlash that’s dividing rural Republicans in places like Texas

Democratic Socialist Francesca Hong Rises in Crowded Wisconsin Governor Race

Marquette Law School poll: nearly half of voters still undecided in Wisconsin governor Democratic primary

DSA views, data centers, Trump and more takeaways from Marquette poll

How Wisconsin Dems fare in head-to-head matchups with Tom Tiffany

Messy primaries plague both major political parties, causing chaos and confusion in the midterms

David Crowley reenters battleground Wisconsin’s Democratic governor primary with Gov. Evers’ backing

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers backs David Crowley in Democratic primary

Polls

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Democratic establishment fights back against socialists

Eric Toney slams Hong over shooting comments, calls her irresponsible

Democrats seize on AI data center backlash that’s dividing rural Republicans in places like Texas

Democratic Socialist Francesca Hong Rises in Crowded Wisconsin Governor Race

Marquette Law School poll: nearly half of voters still undecided in Wisconsin governor Democratic primary

DSA views, data centers, Trump and more takeaways from Marquette poll

How Wisconsin Dems fare in head-to-head matchups with Tom Tiffany

Messy primaries plague both major political parties, causing chaos and confusion in the midterms

David Crowley reenters battleground Wisconsin’s Democratic governor primary with Gov. Evers’ backing

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers backs David Crowley in Democratic primary

Polls

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?