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2026 Wisconsin Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Wisconsin Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 11, 2026Market closes: Aug 11, 11:59pm ET (Aug 12, 3:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 8, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

$27.4K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 8, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Tom TiffanyRepublican	100%	29.0%	$170.9K
Andy ManskeRepublican	1%	—	—
Josh SchoemannRepublican	0%	7.3%	—
Patrick TestinRepublican	0%	—	—
Eric HovdeRepublican	0%	19.5%	—
Rebecca KleefischRepublican	0%	—	—
Bryan SteilRepublican	0%	—	$4.38M
Tommy ThompsonRepublican	0%	—	—
Josh SchoemannRepublican	0%	7.3%	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 8, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$27.4K

24h volume

$281

T. Tiffany100%

A. Manske1%

J. Schoemann0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 11

Prediction market closes

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Tiffany’s Republican nominee price jumped to 0.99 with about a 7.5-point move over the last 24 hours, and fresh reporting still frames him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the August 11 primary.

99%7%

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Fresh reporting shows more Democratic primary shakeup in Wisconsin, while Tom Tiffany remains the Trump-backed Republican front-runner with only nominal primary opposition, keeping the GOP nominee market heavily concentrated.

98%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Sara Rodriguez has left the Democratic primary after campaign finance problems, and David Crowley is moving back into the race. That has reshuffled a field that still includes Francesca Hong, Mandela Barnes, Kelda Roys, and Joel Brennan. Recent fundraising reports also showed Tom Tiffany with the strongest overall financial position. The Democratic primary looks more unsettled after Rodriguez’s exit and Crowley’s possible return, which likely raises uncertainty. Fundraising data still suggests Tiffany has a financial edge overall.

Articles

WWTOP2 days ago

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

NEW GLARUS, Wis. (AP) — Sarah Miller, a software engineer from the liberal stronghold of Madison, has heard all of the chatter about a civil war in the…

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette4 days ago

In CNN interview, Hong doesn't back off 'cancel Thanksgiving' post

Democratic governor candidate Francesca Hong in a CNN interview appeared to leave the door open to supporting the idea of canceling Thanksgiving.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette3 days ago

Hong reverses stance on defunding police, claims about racism

Francesca Hong is reversing her past support for defunding and eliminating police and walking back accusations of racism against law enforcement.

TAThe Atlantic3 days ago

Liberals Are Now Fighting a Two-Front War

Leftists like Abdul El-Sayed will take over the Democratic Party unless the center-left adapts to their rise.

BNBreitbart News Network1 day ago

Socialist Francesca Hong Clear Leader in Wisconsin Primary

Socialist Francesca Hong is the clear leader in Wisconsin's Democrat gubernatorial primary race, a recent survey from State Navigate revealed.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette4 days ago

Crowley gets union endorsements in effort to boost governor campaign

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley is counting on union workers to vote for him in the gubernatorial primary on Aug. 11 just days away.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette4 days ago

Hong's plan to end Milwaukee voucher program diverges from opponents

Milwaukee's longstanding private school voucher program would eventually end under a plan by Democratic candidate for governor Francesca Hong.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette5 days ago

An undecided voter's guide to the Wisconsin governor candidates

If you're just tuning into the Wisconsin primary for governor, here's a refresher on the remaining candidates and our past coverage, all in one place.

WWEAU6 days ago

Crowley visits western Wisconsin after relaunching his bid for governor

David Crowley visited western Wisconsin on Sunday after relaunching his candidacy for Wisconsin governor.

TNThe New York Times9 days ago

Former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes Exits Race for Wisconsin Governor

With a democratic socialist, Francesca Hong, leading in polls, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes said he was ending his campaign in the closely divided state.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 28, 2025 and Nov 21, 2025.

Polling Average

40%30%20%10%0%

29%

19.5%

7.3%

T. Tiffany

E. Hovde

J. Schoemann

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Tiffany	Hovde	Schoemann
Polling Average	Tiffany+9.5	29.0%	19.5%	7.3%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21	Hovde+8.0	17.0%	25.0%	5.0%
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30	Tiffany+16.0	30.0%	14.0%	4.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJul 28 - 31	Tiffany+27.0	40.0%	–	13.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Tom Tiffany

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Tom Tiffany for Wisconsin governor.

2026 Wisconsin Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Latest Election News

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

In CNN interview, Hong doesn't back off 'cancel Thanksgiving' post

Hong reverses stance on defunding police, claims about racism

Liberals Are Now Fighting a Two-Front War

Socialist Francesca Hong Clear Leader in Wisconsin Primary

Crowley gets union endorsements in effort to boost governor campaign

Hong's plan to end Milwaukee voucher program diverges from opponents

An undecided voter's guide to the Wisconsin governor candidates

Crowley visits western Wisconsin after relaunching his bid for governor

Former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes Exits Race for Wisconsin Governor

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Governor winner?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Latest Election News

After Michigan, Democrats’ next battleground over the party’s future shifts to Wisconsin

In CNN interview, Hong doesn't back off 'cancel Thanksgiving' post

Hong reverses stance on defunding police, claims about racism

Liberals Are Now Fighting a Two-Front War

Socialist Francesca Hong Clear Leader in Wisconsin Primary

Crowley gets union endorsements in effort to boost governor campaign

Hong's plan to end Milwaukee voucher program diverges from opponents

An undecided voter's guide to the Wisconsin governor candidates

Crowley visits western Wisconsin after relaunching his bid for governor

Former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes Exits Race for Wisconsin Governor

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Governor winner?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

WI-06 Democratic nominee?