$6.2K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
Trump endorsed Barry Moore in Alabama's Senate race, giving him a boost in the Republican primary. The race is still expected to stay strongly Republican. Other recent headlines are mostly about redistricting in other states and have little direct impact on this market. The Trump endorsement may strengthen Moore in the GOP primary, but it does not clearly change the party outcome. The market likely still favors Republicans for this seat.
A stalwart conservative with President Donald Trump's endorsement, Moore is serving his third term and leads in every survey of likely Republican primary voters.
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana's congressional map, state senators on Thursday are to consider a plan that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the November midterm elections.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
Republicans’ post-Callais gerrymandering blitz appears to be winding down. The midterms damage to Democrats could have been worse. But Trump may not be through with his redistricting push.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Calling the congressman a totally reliable MAGA Warrior and praising him as one of his all time favorites, President Donald Trump on Thursday endorsed Rep. Barry Moore in Alabama's U.S. Senate race.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
Sen. Jon Ossoff faced criticism over his ties to the SPLC after the group's indictment on charges of allegedly funneling millions to extremist organizations like the KKK.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
