$34.7M
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Xavier Becerra’s win price moved to 60% after fresh reporting and a new poll showed him effectively tied with Steve Hilton near the top of California’s crowded governor field. That keeps the market’s leader under active repricing heading into the June 2 primary.
Xavier Becerra’s win price ticked up to 58%, with new reporting showing him effectively tied with Steve Hilton in the final stretch before the June 2 primary. Traders may care because the market is still repricing a top-two race where a small shift could matter for the runoff field.
Xavier Becerra’s win price rose from 51% to 55% as latest debate and poll coverage keeps him the frontrunner in California’s crowded top-two primary. Traders may care because the move extends a short-term Becerra bid into the final stretch before the June 2 primary.
Xavier Becerra remains the main favorite in recent polling and betting markets for California governor. But the race is still tight at the top, and he is facing new attacks from Democratic rivals over health care comments. The crowded top-two primary remains volatile ahead of June 2. Becerra’s lead in recent polling and betting markets supports his position, but the close polling and crowded field keep uncertainty high. The latest criticism may add some downside risk without clearly changing the front-runner picture.
Bianco claims Gov. Gavin Newsom is boosting Steve Hilton’s campaign for an easy Dem win.
Riverside County Sheriff Bianco is running into the unforgiving math of California’s top-two election system, and the window has now closed.
Becerra, a front-runner for California governor, has a history of blocking police accountability and seeking to uphold the death penalty.
Villaraigosa is not about to put on a MAGA hat. He called Trump a "threat to democracy" in the same interview. But he is also being realistic about the problems facing California.
In the governor’s race, more than 60 candidates are on the ballot, creating a very fluid situation. The mayoral race isn’t any better.
Alameda resident Barack Denzel Obama Shaw represents one of the most unique names on Californian's primary ballot in 2026
Gavin Newsom broke his 2018 promise to implement single-payer health care because it would have crushed the state's finances.
Spencer Pratt, like President Trump before him, is a political product of the reality-TV industrial complex. And like Trump in 2016, he has no experience in public office.
Things are heating up in California -- and that could spell good news for the Republican Party come election time.
Gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra has skyrocketed in polling, but he has also come under fire recently.
Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California
Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California endorsed Xavier Becerra for California governor.
Democratic Assemblymember Nick Schultz
Democratic Assemblymember Nick Schultz endorsed Tom Steyer for California governor.
Democratic Assemblymember Corey Jackson
Corey Jackson endorsed Tom Steyer for California governor.
California Republican Assembly
California Republican Assembly endorsed Chad Bianco for governor.
California Federation of Labor Unions
California Federation of Labor Unions endorsed Antonio Villaraigosa for California governor.
San Francisco Chronicle editorial board
San Francisco Chronicle editorial board endorsed Eleni Kounalakis for lieutenant governor in 2022.
California Democratic Party
California Democratic Party endorsed Betty Yee for governor at its 2026 convention.
California Teachers Association
California Teachers Association supported Eric Swalwell’s gubernatorial campaign before suspending that support.
California Service Employees International Union
The California Service Employees International Union supported Eric Swalwell’s gubernatorial campaign before suspending that support.
N. ShanahanNicole Shanahan
E. SwalwellEric Swalwell
A. PadillaAlex Padilla
E. AgarwalEthan Agarwal
K. PorterKatie PorterX. BecerraXavier BecerraSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
