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Who will win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary?

Sep 9, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 67 daysLast updated: Jul 4, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

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SEP 9, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$9.9K

24h volume

E. Pelino53%

A. Guckian52%

R. Raimondo1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

September

WED 9

Rhode Island 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Rhode Island 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

20h

Elaine Pelino is now the front-runner for the Rhode Island Republican governor nomination at 53%, with a 10.0-point lead.

53%

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Elaine Pelino's odds are now 53%, past the previous high of 37%.

53%16%

News

AINews Summary

Rhode Island’s Republican governor race now has 10 declared candidates, but the ballot is not final yet. Candidates still need to turn in nominating petitions by July 10 to qualify. That means the field could still change before the nomination is set. The race still looks unsettled because ballot access is not finished. That keeps uncertainty elevated until the petition deadline passes.

Articles

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)9 days ago

RI GOP endorses Guckian for governor, Skoly for Congress at convention

Guckian, who ran for lieutenant governor four years ago, beat Elaine Pelino to the endorsement on a 72-to-44 vote with 10 votes for no endorsement.

TBThe Boston Globe3 days ago

In a new poll, R.I. Governor McKee is down 20 with 10 weeks until the primary

Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes 42 percent to 22 percent, according to a University of New Hampshire poll released Tuesday.

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)10 days ago

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

Rhode Island election filings show 62% of legislative seats are uncontested amid new political battles.

TBThe Boston Globe17 days ago

What Dan McKee's attacks on CVS say about the state of his campaign

Rhode Island’s governor is running for reelection by attacking the state’s largest private employer.

NYNew York Magazine29 days ago

Reaction and Fallout

The Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner is allegations of abusive behavior, one of his accusers says it’s worse than was reported, and Senate Democrats seem caught. Here’s all the fallout and reaction following the New York Times report.

TAThe Associated Press1 month ago

Platner’s wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate’s sexually explicit texts with women

Graham Platner’s wife has responded to reports about his alleged sexually explicit texts with several women.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit1 month ago

Platner's wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate's sexually explicit texts with women

Graham Platner’s wife has responded to reports about his alleged sexually explicit texts with several women.

NNewsweek2 months ago

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.

WEWashington Examiner25 days ago

Which Democrats have ruled out a 2028 presidential run?

Several prominent Democrats have publicly ruled out a run, seeking instead to focus on their current roles or plans beyond elected office.

BSBaltimore Sun1 month ago

Platner’s wife calls news coverage of Senate hopeful’s sexually explicit texts with women ‘shameful’

By JESSE BEDAYN and KIMBERLEE KRUESI WASHINGTON (AP) — Graham Platner’s wife publicly responded over the weekend to reports that she had informed his U.S. Senate campaign that the candidate had previously exchanged sexually explicit text messages with several women. It’s the latest controversy in Platner’s whirlwind campaign to win the Democratic nomination in Maine […]

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

42%

17%

E. Pelino

A. Guckian

R. Raimondo

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Pelino	Guckian	Raimondo
Polling Average	Pelino+25.0	42.0%	17.0%	1.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23	Pelino+25.0	42.0%	17.0%	1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Elaine Pelino

moneygamepac

moneygamepac endorsed Elaine Pelino for governor of Rhode Island.

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Aaron Guckian

Rhode Island Republican Party

Rhode Island Republican Party endorsed Aaron Guckian for governor at its convention.

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West Warwick Republican Town Committee

West Warwick Republican Town Committee endorsed Aaron Guckian for governor.

Learn more

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Fundraising

Who will win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary?

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

News

RI GOP endorses Guckian for governor, Skoly for Congress at convention

In a new poll, R.I. Governor McKee is down 20 with 10 weeks until the primary

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

What Dan McKee's attacks on CVS say about the state of his campaign

Reaction and Fallout

Platner’s wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate’s sexually explicit texts with women

Platner's wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate's sexually explicit texts with women

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Which Democrats have ruled out a 2028 presidential run?

Platner’s wife calls news coverage of Senate hopeful’s sexually explicit texts with women ‘shameful’

Polls

Endorsements

Related races

Providence Mayor winner?

Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?

Rhode Island Senate winner?

Rhode Island Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

News

RI GOP endorses Guckian for governor, Skoly for Congress at convention

In a new poll, R.I. Governor McKee is down 20 with 10 weeks until the primary

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

What Dan McKee's attacks on CVS say about the state of his campaign

Reaction and Fallout

Platner’s wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate’s sexually explicit texts with women

Platner's wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate's sexually explicit texts with women

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Which Democrats have ruled out a 2028 presidential run?

Platner’s wife calls news coverage of Senate hopeful’s sexually explicit texts with women ‘shameful’

Polls

Endorsements

Related races

Providence Mayor winner?

Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?

Rhode Island Senate winner?

Rhode Island Governor winner?