State Lean
Strong Democratic
Not a core swing state
ActiveGeneral Election
2028 Vermont Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Recorded market close:
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)
$9.3K
NOV 11, 2028
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Republican
59.0%
Democratic
47.0%
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$9.3K
24h volume
$243
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Vermont · Governor
Strong DemocraticNot a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 11, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early/absentee voting generally begins when ballots are available, no later than 20 days before Election Day, through the day before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The Vermont governor race is still taking shape, with Aly Richards and Amando Janoo competing for the Democratic nomination. Polling cited in the report still has Gov. Phil Scott ahead of both Democrats, even as his approval rating has slipped. The open primary keeps the general election picture unsettled. The latest Vermont update is mixed: Scott still leads in hypothetical matchups, but his lower approval could keep the race competitive. The open Democratic primary adds some uncertainty for the market.
Articles
BFBurlington Free Press14 hours ago
Vermont Election Day arrives after 131K early ballots
Vermont voters head to the polls after 131,000 early ballots were returned as of Oct. 28, with the governor’s race razor close.
SASanta Ana Orange County Register1 day ago
Election 2026: What to watch in Southern California in the midterms
Here are some of the key things that will be decided, from the race to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom to ballot propositions and the effects of redistricting.
WWTOP4 days ago
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota on Election Day
WASHINGTON (AP) — Minnesota voters will elect a new governor and new senator Tuesday after retirement announcements by two prominent Democrats caused a reshuffl
TBThe Boston Globe5 days ago
Inside the Pennsylvania race that could shape the fight for the House
This pivotal purple district provides clues for the scale of Tuesday’s Democratic rise.
MJMother Jones2 days ago
On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
BBoston.com29 days ago
Troy Jackson is scrambling to defeat Maine Sen. Susan Collins. Time is not on his side.
It's a Monday night, and Troy Jackson has drawn about 250 people into a converted church to hear him talk about healthcare and labor in Maine.
AAl-Monitor3 months ago
Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
BNBaltimore News3 months ago
Democrats reset campaign against Collins with new nominee
Democrats in Maine have a new nominee to take on long-time incumbent Sen. Susan Collins in a race that is pivotal for both parties to win a Senate majority.
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)
No verified final result is available for this race.
Democratic
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont
Settlement pending
Republican
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont
Settlement pending