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Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary?

Sep 16, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 84 daysLast updated: Jun 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC

Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

$44.0K

SEP 16, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$44.0K

24h volume

M. Minogue88%

B. Shortsleeve13%

M. Kennealy1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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News

AINews Summary

Mike Minogue remains the main Republican nominee to watch after winning the state GOP endorsement and pouring $13.5 million of his own money into the race. A recent survey found both Minogue and Brian Shortsleeve are still little known to voters, and an editorial criticized the candidates for not releasing tax returns. Minogue appears to have an organizational and fundraising edge, but low voter familiarity keeps the race uncertain. The tax-return criticism adds some negative attention without clearly shifting the nomination picture.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner10 hours ago

Republicans select slate against New York congressional Democrats

Republicans hold few competitive seats in New York, which makes each district a possibly critical pickup to expand the slim House majority.

UTUSA TODAY2 months ago

Latest data from Analilia Mejia's District 11 win

Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.

TBThe Boston Herald5 days ago

Howie Carr Show-Herald survey shows low voter familiarity with GOP candidates

The Boston Herald and the Howie Carr Show have conducted a poll of 51 Massachusetts voters on the 2026 gubernatorial race, finding that a vast majority could not identify either GOP candidate.

TBThe Boston Globe3 days ago

Don't emulate Trump's ethics

Politicians now think it is fine not to release their tax returns. But that only feeds distrust.

BBoston.com15 days ago

Raman advances to runoff against Los Angeles Mayor Bass

Progressive city council member Nithya Raman has advanced to a November runoff against Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass.

TAThe Associated Press16 days ago

Nithya Raman advances to November runoff against Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass

Progressive city council member Nithya Raman has advanced to a November runoff against Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass, setting up an unexpected matchup between two Democrats and former political allies to run the struggling city of nearly 4 million.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit16 days ago

Progressive Nithya Raman advances to November runoff against Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass

NNPR21 days ago

Who won Iowa’s primary elections for Senate and governor? : NPR

Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek will face Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson in the Senate race. For governor, Democrat state Auditor Rob Sand and Republican businessman Zach Lahn move on to November.

HCHartford Courant1 month ago

With Josh Elliott on primary ballot, Lamont’s summer gets hotter

“If I sound angry, I want you to know that I’m angry,” Elliott told Democrats in New Haven. "Great, I'm gonna get shit done. How’s that?” Lamont told reporters in reply.

BBoston.com1 month ago

As Minogue pours millions into his own campaign, state lawmaker pushes to ban self-funding

Mike Minogue has given $13.5 million to his campaign for governor, spotlighting the state's lack of limits for self-funding campaigns.

Polls

Polling Average

30%25%20%15%10%5%0%

23.4%

21.5%

18.9%

M. Minogue

M. Kennealy

B. Shortsleeve

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Minogue	Kennealy	Shortsleeve
Polling Average	Minogue+1.9	23.4%	21.5%	18.9%
Suffolk UniversityMay 25 - 28	Minogue+31.8	45.0%	–	13.1%
Pulse Decision SicenceFeb 23 - 24	Minogue+13.0	29.0%	7.0%	16.0%
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 - 23	Shortsleeve+8.6	6.5%	12.9%	21.5%
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovOct 21 - 29	Kennealy+31.0	13.0%	44.0%	13.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23	Shortsleeve+9.0	–	22.0%	31.0%