$45.7K
JUN 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | $57.2K | |
| 5% | $370.5K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Kevin Hern has secured the Republican Senate nomination in Oklahoma. Three Democrats remain in the race for the party’s nomination, with a runoff possible if no one clears 50%. The general election matchup will be set once Democrats choose their nominee. Hern’s GOP nomination is now settled, so attention shifts to the Democratic side. The market still faces uncertainty until the Democratic runoff is resolved.
Abdul El-Sayed made history this month in Michigan by becoming the first Muslim nominated by the Democratic Party to run for the US Senate.
Berlin police shot and killed the suspect in this weekend’s deadly attack in the city’s Pride festival after he allegedly charged at officers with a knife while they tried to arrest him Sunday, authorities said.
Oklahoma voters have rejected raising the state's nation-lowest minimum wage as several states held primaries on Tuesday.
Crypto PAC poured $12 million into Barry Moore’s Alabama Senate bid, and it worked: the Trump loyalist crushed former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson in the GOP primary runoff, setting him up as the likely nominee in November.
Jobs and Democracy PAC, funded by artificial intelligence industry figures, is backing Brook Park Democrat Brian Poindexter in Tuesday's 7th District congressional primary.
Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic nominee for Michigan Senate, pledged fealty to Sharia law in a resurfaced 2009 interview discussing a Sharia-compliant mortgage.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. PriestJim Priest
N. ThomasN'Kiyla Thomas
T. GreenTroy W. GreenSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
