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2026 Rhode Island Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Rhode Island Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Sep 9, 2026Market closes: Sep 8, 11:59pm ET (Sep 9, 3:59am UTC)

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

$15.5K

SEP 9, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average
Elaine Pelino	81%	39.5%
Aaron Guckian	16%	17.0%
Robert Raimondo	1%	1.0%

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$15.5K

24h volume

$27

E. Pelino81%

A. Guckian16%

R. Raimondo1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

September

TUE 8

Prediction market closes

September

WED 9

Rhode Island 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Rhode Island 2026 general election

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader.

72%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The Rhode Island Republican governor race remains undecided heading into the Sept. 9 primary. Early voting starts in five weeks, and the field is still being finalized. Ten candidates have declared, but ballot qualification still depended on nominating petitions. The market still looks open because no nominee has emerged yet. The main effect is continued uncertainty until the primary field and frontrunners become clearer.

Articles

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)2 days ago

MAGA candidate Vic Mellor dominates spending in RI CD2 race

Finance reports show Mellor loaning his campaign $2.2M, and then paying himself over $200,000 for in-kind work.

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)2 months ago

RI GOP endorses Guckian for governor, Skoly for Congress at convention

Guckian, who ran for lieutenant governor four years ago, beat Elaine Pelino to the endorsement on a 72-to-44 vote with 10 votes for no endorsement.

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)2 months ago

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

Rhode Island election filings show 62% of legislative seats are uncontested amid new political battles.

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

What Dan McKee's attacks on CVS say about the state of his campaign

Rhode Island’s governor is running for reelection by attacking the state’s largest private employer.

NYNew York Magazine2 months ago

Reaction and Fallout

The Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner is allegations of abusive behavior, one of his accusers says it’s worse than was reported, and Senate Democrats seem caught. Here’s all the fallout and reaction following the New York Times report.

TAThe Associated Press3 months ago

Platner’s wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate’s sexually explicit texts with women

Graham Platner’s wife has responded to reports about his alleged sexually explicit texts with several women.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit3 months ago

Platner's wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate's sexually explicit texts with women

Graham Platner’s wife has responded to reports about his alleged sexually explicit texts with several women.

NNewsweek3 months ago

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.

WEWashington Examiner2 months ago

Which Democrats have ruled out a 2028 presidential run?

Several prominent Democrats have publicly ruled out a run, seeking instead to focus on their current roles or plans beyond elected office.

BSBaltimore Sun3 months ago

Platner’s wife calls news coverage of Senate hopeful’s sexually explicit texts with women ‘shameful’

By JESSE BEDAYN and KIMBERLEE KRUESI WASHINGTON (AP) — Graham Platner’s wife publicly responded over the weekend to reports that she had informed his U.S. Senate campaign that the candidate had previously exchanged sexually explicit text messages with several women. It’s the latest controversy in Platner’s whirlwind campaign to win the Democratic nomination in Maine […]

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 18, 2026 and Aug 11, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

39.5%

17%

E. Pelino

A. Guckian

R. Raimondo

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Pelino	Guckian	Raimondo
Polling Average	Pelino+22.5	39.5%	17.0%	1.0%
Embold ResearchAug 3 - 11	Pelino+20.0	37.0%	17.0%	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23	Pelino+25.0	42.0%	17.0%	1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Elaine Pelino1

Narragansett Republican Party

Aaron Guckian1

Rhode Island Republican Party

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Fundraising

2026 Rhode Island Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Latest Election News

MAGA candidate Vic Mellor dominates spending in RI CD2 race

RI GOP endorses Guckian for governor, Skoly for Congress at convention

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

What Dan McKee's attacks on CVS say about the state of his campaign

Reaction and Fallout

Platner’s wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate’s sexually explicit texts with women

Platner's wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate's sexually explicit texts with women

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Which Democrats have ruled out a 2028 presidential run?

Platner’s wife calls news coverage of Senate hopeful’s sexually explicit texts with women ‘shameful’

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Related Races

Providence Mayor winner?

Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?

Rhode Island Governor winner?

Rhode Island Senate winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Latest Election News

MAGA candidate Vic Mellor dominates spending in RI CD2 race

RI GOP endorses Guckian for governor, Skoly for Congress at convention

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

What Dan McKee's attacks on CVS say about the state of his campaign

Reaction and Fallout

Platner’s wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate’s sexually explicit texts with women

Platner's wife responds to reports of the Senate candidate's sexually explicit texts with women

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Which Democrats have ruled out a 2028 presidential run?

Platner’s wife calls news coverage of Senate hopeful’s sexually explicit texts with women ‘shameful’

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Related Races

Providence Mayor winner?

Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?

Rhode Island Governor winner?

Rhode Island Senate winner?