$84.03
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 16, 2026, 4:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 85% | |
| 15% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new Texas poll shows Republicans ahead in several statewide races, including Abbott over Hinojosa. At the same time, rural backlash over data centers and transmission lines is creating some headwinds for Abbott. Recent Texas news has not added much direct information on the Land Office race. The poll and broader Republican strength may slightly support GOP statewide expectations, but the rural backlash adds some uncertainty. The Land Office race itself still has little direct new information.
Republican incumbent Dawn Buckingham faces a challenge from Democrat Benjamin Flores.
Polling places open next week across all 254 counties in Texas for a U.S. Senate race the nation is watching. Here's what to know
Early voting in Texas begins on Oct. 19.
Incumbent Democrat says he's not taking victory for granted in race against former write-in candidate
Major projects that aim to move and consume large amounts of electricity have rural voters turning against Texas Gov. Greg Abbott.
New polling shows Republicans leading in several key statewide races with just a few weeks to go before voters head to the polls for the midterm elections.
Most of the state’s GOP leaders have hedged on the White House's plans for the region
Find 2026 North Texas midterm election races and candidates on your ballot with this voter guide, organized by where you live.
Sid Miller, the Trump-loving Texas agricultural commissioner, talks on his opposition to data centers, and why Greg Abbott may lose.
Democrat James Talarico is continuing to attract the support of independent voters in the race for U.S. Senate over his Republican opponent, Attorney General Ken Paxton.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
