$2.00
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 23, 2026, 5:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 83% | |
| 16% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
CBP has paused Big Bend border security work while it reviews the project and meets with stakeholders. Texas officials, local landowners, and environmental groups have objected, and Buckingham has pushed for remediation after reported land damage. The issue highlights border policy and state-federal conflict, but it is not yet a clear election mover. The news is more about Buckingham’s profile on a signature issue than a clear race shift. It likely has limited direct effect on the market unless the border dispute becomes a bigger campaign issue.
Major projects that aim to move and consume large amounts of electricity have rural voters turning against Texas Gov. Greg Abbott.
The Trump administration's actions in Big Bend are government run amok. They should chill the conservative soul.
U.S. Customs and Border Protection Commissioner Rodney Scott announced his agency put a temporary halt to ongoing infrastructure projects underway at Big Bend National Park in West Texas. Scott announced on Monday on the social media platform X that the projects would be paused while he meets with local stakeholders and law enforcement this week. | Border / Cartel Chronicles
Bulldozers and excavators in Texas’ Big Bend National Park are at a standstill this week as the chief of US Customs and Border Protection visits to assess whether the agency should move forward with its plans for new border security measures.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
