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2026 Texas Na Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Texas Na Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Market closes: Nov 7, 11:59pm ET (Nov 8, 4:59am UTC)

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

$42.1K

NOV 8, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated Sep 15, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds
Bo French	55%
Jon Rosenthal	43%

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$42.1K

24h volume

$24.1K

B. French55%

J. Rosenthal43%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

SAT 7

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

22h

New reporting shows Texas Republicans publicly rebuking Bo French after his xenophobic posts, adding a fresh downside catalyst for his runoff against Jon Rosenthal.

65%

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

Jon Rosenthal's odds are now 52%, above the previous high of 38%.

52%14%

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

Bo French’s odds are now at 50%, below the previous low of 71%.

50%21%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest new development is backlash against Republican nominee Bo French over remarks described as bigoted. Cornyn and other Republicans have criticized him. Separately, outside groups are spending heavily to support Republicans in competitive 2026 races, including Texas. The controversy could hurt French’s standing and add some uncertainty around the Republican side. Broader outside spending suggests the race remains a priority for GOP-aligned groups.

Articles

ABAtlanta Black Star8 hours ago

Mike Johnson Squirms After CNN Host Ambushes Him with Vile Video Clip of Texas GOP Contender, Then Backs Him Anyway

CNN's Jake Tapper confronted House Speaker Mike Johnson with repugnant video footage of Brandon Herrera, a Republican House candidate in Texas whom the

WEWashington Examiner2 hours ago

Johnson leads charge in committing millions to NRCC after Vance push

Johnson's $13 million transfer led the pack of pledges announced Tuesday, bringing his total in the 2026 cycle to nearly $100 million.

NYNew York Daily News23 hours ago

Trump nominates wife of ‘God Bless the USA’ singer Lee Greenwood to serve as US ambassador

Kimberly Greenwood was among a list of nominees the Trump administration sent Monday to the U.S. Senate for confirmation.

TAThe Atlantic24 hours ago

A Bigoted Outburst Against Texas Sports Fans

Bo French’s xenophobia should matter to both parties.

UTUSA TODAY6 hours ago

Trump lost on mail ballots. Is the Supreme Court rejecting him?

The Trump administration lost a mail ballot case at the Supreme Court but won most election cases about redistricting and campaign spending.

ESEUROPE SAYS4 days ago

Trump, Musk super PACs spend millions to boost Republicans in key races

NEW YORK >> The two biggest Republican money players in the 2026 midterm elections – President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk – have turned on

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review4 days ago

Trump and Musk super PACs unleash millions to boost Republicans in battleground races

NEW YORK – The two biggest Republican money players in the 2026 midterm elections – U.S. President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk – have finally turned on the spigot with less than eight weeks to go before Election Day.