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NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Club for Growth PAC is a notable backer for Justin Amash in the 2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee.
The biggest development is a California effort to repeal the state's top-two primary system and place the question on the 2028 ballot. Supporters say the current system could hurt third-party candidates, but the measure still needs funding and signatures to move forward. The rest of the news is mostly unrelated to the Libertarian nomination race. The California initiative could improve the long-term environment for third-party candidates if it advances, but it is still early and uncertain. For now, the market impact on the 2028 Libertarian nomination is likely limited.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
Cameron is walking a tightrope to stay aligned with Trump while also criticizing recent events as the epitome of “the swamp being the swamp."
A proposed Ohio constitutional amendment to enshrine hunting and fishing rights has drawn far more opponents than supporters across three legislative hearings.
With the major party candidates habitually breaking promises, Reid, Linh and the other outsider candidates deserve your attention.
Paul has increasingly cast himself as a counterweight to Trump-style populism, arguing the GOP needs to rebuild a “free-market wing."
What to watch for in Kentucky as Bluegrass State voters head to the polls for Senate, House, and state legislative elections.
Some have accused the defense secretary of violating the Hatch Act by campaigning in a primary, but the lines are not so clear.
How David Sacks and the new tech right went full MAGA and captured Washington
A Democratic strategist filed a ballot initiative for the 2028 election cycle that, if successful, would repeal California's top two primary system.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
