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NOV 7, 2029
General Election
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source: Kalshi
Jon Ossoff is leaning harder into an anti-Trump message as he seeks reelection in Georgia. Georgia Republicans have also moved to a Senate runoff between Derek Dooley and Mike Collins. Separate commentary points to ongoing Democratic factional divides that could matter for the 2028 nomination. These updates mostly affect the 2026 landscape, not the 2028 presidential race directly. The main 2028-relevant signal is continued Democratic factional tension, which could add uncertainty around the party’s eventual nominee.
By Eric Bradner, CNN (CNN) — Former Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes dropped his bid for governor on Thursday, scrambling the race to replace Gov. Tony Evers less than two weeks from the Democratic primary. In a video posted to social media, Barnes said that it’s “very clear who our nominee is going to be.”
Rep. Mike Collins is still under a House ethics investigation as he continues his run for the U.S. Senate. What happens if he wins?
The two faced off in the final Michigan Democratic primary debate hours after POLITICO published a leaked recording of El-Sayed.
Prediction markets now show a tightening race in the battle to succeed Donald Trump.
Michigan’s Aug. 4 primary is a critical front in the fight between Democrats’ progressive and moderate flanks and a preview of the 2028 presidential primary.
Abdul El-Sayed is seeking to deliver the Democratic Party’s progressive insurgency its biggest win yet in the Michigan Senate primary. But he is running into resistance among Black voters, many of whom say the establishment he eschews has delivered for them in important ways.
If JB Pritzker and Rahm Emanuel can gain traction in the 2028 presidential race, the pair brings a keen contrast in style and politics.
Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio currently sit as frontrunners for the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire.
By Ronald Brownstein, CNN (CNN) — Fiercely fought primaries on August 4 in Michigan and Missouri will provide the next crucial tests in the debate over American policy toward Israel that has convulsed the Democratic Party this year. Arguments about Israel have marked a sharp dividing line in both the Michigan Senate primary between centrist
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.