$3.6K
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 30, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 30% | |
| 17% | |
| 3% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
There are no reported Green Party nomination developments in these summaries. The news mostly covers other parties and other races, including Democratic convention planning and early GOP speculation. For this market, the latest information is effectively neutral. No clear market-moving Green Party news is included here, so odds likely remain unchanged. The update mainly adds no new information for this nominee race.
U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn has won Tennessee's Republican primary for governor and will advance to the Nov. 3 general election, according to the AP.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
I know y’all would probably rather not talk about the Republican candidates for governor of Florida.However, distasteful as it is, we must: The primary is Aug. 18.Now, this family-friendly publication frowns on scatological language, so let’s just call the campaign unseemly.Undignified. Unedifying. ...
Nepotism could tank the far right’s chances in Brazil.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump plans to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general and the Senate begins voting on amendments to ICE and Border Patrol funding.
One of the biggest shifts in the Texas political landscape came in the voters' decision to select Attorney General Ken Paxton as the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, ousting four-term incumbent John Cornyn.
Democrat James Talarico casts scandal-plague GOP nominee as the 'most corrupt politician in America' in a fall race that shakes up the 2026 Senate map
Tuesday’s primary runoffs in Texas will put President Donald Trump’s endorsement to the test again — the latest step in a mission to punish some incumbent Republicans Trump has deemed insufficiently loyal
DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Vice President JD Vance will visit Iowa on Tuesday, marking his first visit since taking office to the state where Republicans in less…
Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out of California's 2026 governor's race and resigned from Congress amid mounting sexual assault and harassment allegations.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
