$4.5K
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 30, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 28% | |
| 14% | |
| 10% | |
| 4% | |
| 4% | |
| 4% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The latest items are mostly about possible 2028 Republican contenders, not the Libertarian nomination. Thomas Massie has not ruled out a presidential run, but there is no reported Libertarian Party nomination activity. The market still lacks clear signals on who the Libertarian nominee might be. Little direct impact on the Libertarian nomination market. The updates mostly add noise around outside candidates and leave the Libertarian field unclear.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
Indiana's race for Secretary of State became more competitive over the weekend as Republican delegates rejected Secretary of State Diego Morales and selected Max Engling to face potentially three other candidates.
As term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis prepares to leave office, a slew of candidates are vying to take his place in the Governor’s Mansion. In the Democratic primary, six candidates officially made it onto the ballot as of 3 p.m. Friday, according to the state Division of Elections website. That includes front-runner David Jolly, a former U.S. representative who appears all but certain to clinch ...
Spencer Pratt’s pratfall in LA, Graham Platner’s victory, prediction markets, and other takeaways from the California and Maine primary elections.
Republican and Democratic primaries for governor, as well as the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, are being watched across the country as bellwethers for national political trends.
Cameron is walking a tightrope to stay aligned with Trump while also criticizing recent events as the epitome of “the swamp being the swamp."
JD Vance said on Friday that the U.S. wins “either way” in negotiations with Iran. “If we make the final deal, then great,” Vance told HBO’s Bill Maher. “If we
Republican Representative Thomas Massie says he won’t rule out a 2028 presidential run after his primary loss.
The representative from Kentucky lost the Republican primary to a Trump-backed challenger on Tuesday.
A proposed Ohio constitutional amendment to enshrine hunting and fishing rights has drawn far more opponents than supporters across three legislative hearings.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
