$19.38
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $10, get $25 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 37% | |
| 27% | |
| 5% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans held a major midterm convention in Dallas, with Trump and other leaders trying to energize the party. Trump is also pushing new agenda items and backing candidates in other races. The updates are active GOP campaign news, but they do not directly change the Iowa caucus contest. The news mostly shows Trump and GOP leaders staying highly engaged, which could support Trump-aligned candidates. But it does not provide direct information on the 2028 Iowa caucus field, so the impact on this market looks limited.
There's a new time now for President Donald Trump's rally supporting Ken Paxton in Lubbock. Here's where, when, how to get tickets.
Fort Myers' FGCU campus is on President Donald Trump's midterm election campaign rally list. He is expected to be here for a rally at Alico Arena.
President Trump is in Fort Myers today, Oct. 23, for an election rally, for GOP candidates, including Byron Donalds who is running for governor.
President Trump will speak at a midterm rally in Perry, Georgia, tonight for Senate nominee Mike Collins and gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson.
In an Illinois get-out-the-vote post, the president backed Darren Bailey for governor and three downstate House members and urged mail voting — a method he’s falsely called rife with fraud — but didn’t mention Senate GOP nominee Don Tracy.
Organizers have confirmed the location for President Trump's Oct. 27 appearance in Lubbock to rally support for Ken Paxton's U.S. Senate bid.
President Trump is scheduled to speak at a campaign rally in Sioux City, Iowa, tonight to stump for Iowa GOP Senate Nominee and current Congresswoman Ashley…
Live updates and the latest news as Trump rallies in Kansas, Vance campaigns in North Carolina, and a new NBC News poll finds 71% of U.S. adults think the country is on the “wrong track.”
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
