Prediction Edge
Democrat
Abdul El-Sayed

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Abdul El-Sayed is trading at 62% to win the Michigan Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysician

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age41 years old (Oct 31, 1984)

GenderMale

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LocationMichigan

BackgroundPhysician

EducationUniversity of Michigan (BS)

Notable personal detailsAbdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed is an American physician and epidemiologist who served as executive director and health officer of the Detroit Health Department (2015–2017) and later as director of Wayne County, Michigan’s Department of Health, Human, and Veterans Services (2023–2025). He previously was an assistant professor of epidemiology at Columbia University and hosts the podcast "America Dissected". He ran for the Democratic nomination for governor of Michigan in 2018 and is running in Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports taxing corporations and wealthy interests to fund expanded public investment and programs, including proposals for progressive payroll taxes and business gross-receipts or income-based levies to finance universal healthcare, infrastructure, and other public priorities.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and elimination of medical debt; advocates guaranteeing comprehensive, public health insurance for every American while also expanding targeted programs and debt relief.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports abolishing U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and has advocated for sanctuary-state policies and protections for immigrant communities. He frames ICE as a paramilitary force that should be dismantled rather than reformed and pledges to lead abolition efforts in the Senate.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports robust pro-choice policies and protection of abortion access, including advocating for Planned Parenthood and state-level measures to protect and expand reproductive health services. Has proposed repealing restrictive state laws that criminalize or limit abortion and said comprehensive family planning must include access to abortion care. Seeks to defend and codify protections for abortion access as part of broader reproductive justice and health-care policy.

Climate & Energy

Supports the Green New Deal framework and advocates for aggressive action on climate change tied to public-health and environmental-justice goals; has taken regulatory and enforcement actions against local polluters and promoted clean-air measures while in public-health roles. Campaign materials emphasize tackling pollution, removing lead, and investing in communities harmed by fossil-fuel emissions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning military-style assault weapons and expanding federal measures to reduce gun trafficking and close background-check loopholes; advocates for stronger federal gun-safety laws to reduce mass shootings and household gun-related harms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 19, 2026

Abdul El-Sayed has won the Michigan Democratic Senate primary and is now the party’s nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate race. He will face Republican Mike Rogers in a competitive general election, and recent polling has Rogers slightly ahead or within the margin of error. El-Sayed has also drawn attention for becoming the first Muslim nominated by the Democratic Party for Michigan’s Senate seat, while responding to criticism and attacks by saying he is focused on the general election.

en.wikipedia.org+61

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.2%
Abdul El-Sayed
A. El-Sayed
Date (Start - End)SpreadEl-Sayed
Polling Average
44.2%
Trafalgar GroupSep 7 - 9
46.3%
CNN/SSRSAug 31 - Sep 6
47.0%
Glengariff GroupAug 31 - Sep 3
44.4%
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28
48.0%
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28
49.0%
EPIC-MRAAug 22 - 28
47.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
48.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20
50.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchAug 11 - 17
46.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchAug 9 - 11
48.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchAug 6 - 10
47.0%
GBAOAug 6 - 10
50.0%
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
43.0%
TIPP InsightsAug 6 - 10
45.0%
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31
43.0%
SoCal StrategiesJul 28 - 30
41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29
45.0%
Glengariff GroupJul 22 - 24
38.7%
Quantus InsightsJun 29 - 30
45.2%
Wedgewood PollsJun 25 - 28
49.0%
Data for ProgressJun 15 - 22
47.0%
Zenith ResearchJun 11 - 14
45.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
47.0%
Tulchin ResearchJun 2 - 4
46.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
40.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
43.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
41.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1
39.8%
Emerson CollegeJan 24 - 25
42.5%
Glengariff GroupJan 2 - 6
41.6%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21
38.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25
31.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
40.8%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8
40.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$14.5M
$10.9M
$7.3M
$3.6M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$14.5M
$2.6M
$12.0M
$629.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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