Prediction Edge
Republican
Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

Republican candidate for Governor in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Greg Abbott is trading at 85% to win the Texas Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleGovernor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationTexas

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Texas at Austin (BBA)

Notable personal detailsGreg Abbott is an American politician and attorney who has served as the 48th governor of Texas since 2015. He previously served as a justice of the Texas Supreme Court (1996–2001) and as the 50th attorney general of Texas (2002–2015). Abbott earned a business degree from the University of Texas at Austin and a Juris Doctor from Vanderbilt University Law School. He is married to Cecilia Phalen Abbott.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Greg Abbott has repeatedly advocated for and signed large tax cuts in Texas, prioritizing substantial property tax relief and opposing broad state-level income taxation. His administration enacted what it called the largest property tax cut in Texas history and has continued to push further property tax relief and limits on local taxing authority.

Healthcare

Opposes Medicaid expansion and favors employer-based and state-managed approaches rather than expanding federal programs; has called for repeal of the Affordable Care Act and pursued Medicaid waivers and managed-care approaches for Texas. Has used executive actions to limit state costs for noncitizen healthcare and to pursue alternatives to ACA expansion.

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Immigration & Border

Greg Abbott supports aggressive enforcement-focused border policies, including deploying the Texas National Guard and state law enforcement to interdict migrants, erecting barriers and razor wire, and authorizing operations to return migrants to the border. His administration has operated large-scale measures such as Operation Lone Star, chartered buses to transport processed migrants to other U.S. cities, and pursued state-level actions to deter and remove unauthorized entrants. Abbott frames these actions as responses to federal inaction and emphasizes deterrence and interdiction rather than

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports and has signed multiple restrictive abortion laws in Texas, including the Texas Heartbeat Act (banning most abortions after detection of cardiac activity) and trigger/ban provisions that prohibit abortion once Roe v. Wade was overturned. The candidate frames his position as pro‑life and has backed additional measures limiting abortion access and funding for abortion services.

Climate & Energy

Supports an 'all-of-the-above' energy approach that emphasizes fossil fuel production (especially oil and natural gas), grid reliability, and expanding dispatchable power while opposing federal actions perceived as restricting the Texas energy industry. Advocates incentives and state programs to build natural-gas power plants, promotes wind/solar and nuclear as part of meeting demand, and criticizes ESG and federal regulations that he says threaten energy jobs and independence.

Public Safety & Guns

Greg Abbott has signed multiple laws expanding gun rights in Texas, including open carry, campus carry, reduced license fees, and permitless/constitutional carry; he has framed Texas as a protector of Second Amendment rights and opposed new federal gun restrictions. Abbott has supported measures that limit local or federal regulation of firearms and promoted policies favorable to lawful gun ownership and law enforcement authority.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Greg Abbott is in the news mainly because the Texas governor race is tightening around AI data centers and electricity costs. He has proposed steps to regulate data centers and limit their impact on utility bills and rural communities, while Democrat Gina Hinojosa is using the issue against him. Abbott is also being reported as leading Hinojosa in recent polls, and he has signaled support for closing Texas primaries.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Wedgewood Polls
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50%
Greg Abbott
G. Abbott
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Wedgewood PollsJul 31, 2026
50.0%
CygnalJul 31, 2026
49.0%
ReconMR/Siena UniversityJul 30, 2026
46.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJul 27, 2026
50.0%
Slingshot StrategiesJul 17, 2026
45.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 27, 2026
51.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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