Prediction Edge
Democrat
James Talarico

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age37 years old (May 17, 1989)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Texas at Austin — B.A.

Notable personal detailsJames Dell Talarico is a Democratic politician and former public school teacher who has served in the Texas House of Representatives since 2018, representing District 52 (2018–2023) and District 50 (2023–present). He earned degrees from the University of Texas at Austin and Harvard University, and later completed a Master of Divinity at Austin Presbyterian Theological Seminary. He has emphasized public education policy and has also run for higher office in Texas.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significantly higher taxes on the wealthiest Americans and large corporations, closing loopholes (including carried interest and “buy, borrow, die”), raising capital gains and corporate tax rates, and using increased revenue to cut taxes for working families and expand supports (wages, Social Security protections, prescription drug and cost-of-living relief).

Healthcare

Supports expanding government-backed coverage by making Medicare buy-in or a public option available and expanding Medicare access; emphasizes lowering prescription drug costs (including capping insulin copays and importing drugs) and treating health care as a human right. Has a legislative record on prescription-cost reforms and protections for Medicaid.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform that expands legal pathways and a pathway to citizenship for longtime residents while also strengthening border security against cartels and criminal actors. Proposes asylum-system improvements (more immigration judges, root out fraud, speed legitimate protections), modernizing ports of entry, guest-worker and employer-sponsorship programs with labor protections, and targeted enforcement against gangs and traffickers rather than broad deportation of immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring and protecting reproductive freedom at the federal level, including federal legislation to codify Roe v. Wade and protections for access to contraception and IVF; opposes Texas’s near-total abortion ban and frames abortion access as a matter of bodily autonomy and public health.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal incentives and investments to expand renewable energy and grid resilience, endorses emissions-reduction planning and climate preparedness, and advocates for diversified energy innovation while maintaining transitional fossil fuel roles.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks for private firearm transfers and has sponsored/co-sponsored legislation to require national instant background checks; supports reforms to policing and measures to improve public safety in schools.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

James Talarico has secured the Texas Democratic Senate nomination and is now the party’s candidate in the 2026 race against Republican Ken Paxton. His campaign has recently shifted to an affordability message, with a new ad focused on lowering costs for groceries, gas, healthcare, insulin, taxes, and property taxes. He has also been in the news for attacking Paxton over a child abuse case file request and for facing a conservative attack ad over his immigration remarks.

house.texas.gov+57

Polls

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
39.2%
44.7%
35.3%
35.1%
James Talarico
J. Talarico
Jasmine Crockett
J. Crockett
Beto O'Rourke
B. O'Rourke
Colin Allred
C. Allred
Ahmad R. Hassan
A. Hassan
Date (Start - End)SpreadTalaricoCrockettO'RourkeAllredHassan
Polling Average
Crockett+5.5
39.2%44.7%35.3%35.1%1.7%
YouGovFeb 26 - Mar 2
Talarico+13.0
53.0%40.0%0.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 26 - 27
Talarico+5.6
52.1%46.5%1.4%
Public Policy PollingFeb 25 - 25
Talarico+6.0
48.0%42.0%0.0%
Blueprint PollingFeb 23 - 24
Talarico+11.9
51.9%40.0%0.2%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
Crockett+22.0
34.0%56.0%7.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
Crockett+18.0
37.0%55.0%4.0%
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGovFeb 2 - 16
Crockett+12.0
44.0%56.0%0.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 10 - 12
Talarico+4.0
47.0%43.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovJan 20 - 31
Crockett+8.0
39.0%47.0%2.0%
Slingshot StrategiesJan 14 - 21
Crockett+1.0
37.0%38.0%
HIT StrategiesJan 6 - 15
Crockett+13.0
33.0%46.0%
Emerson CollegeJan 10 - 12
Talarico+9.4
47.0%37.6%0.4%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterDec 9 - 11
Crockett+8.0
43.0%51.0%
Impact ResearchDec 3 - 4
Crockett+17.0
35.0%52.0%
Impact ResearchOct 23 - 29
Talarico+6.0
48.0%42.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Crockett+6.0
25.0%31.0%25.0%13.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Crockett+18.0
34.0%52.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
O'Rourke+15.0
39.0%54.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Allred+4.0
42.0%46.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchSep 17 - 24
Allred+12.0
30.0%42.0%
Public Policy PollingSep 3 - 4
Allred+8.0
32.0%40.0%
Slingshot StrategiesAug 27 - 29
O'Rourke+20.0
7.0%26.0%27.0%13.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterAug 6 - 12
Allred+7.0
43.0%50.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

Endorsers of James Talarico for Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

Barack Obama

Political organization

Barack Obama backed James Talarico's U.S. Senate campaign.

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Texas AFL-CIO COPE

Labor organization

The Texas AFL-CIO Committee on Political Education endorsed James Talarico for U.S. Senate.

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Texas AFL-CIO

Labor organization

The Texas AFL-CIO endorsed James Talarico for U.S. Senate.

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Omega Network for Action

Public endorsement

Omega Network for Action endorsed James Talarico in the U.S. Senate race.

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Dan Cogdell

Political organization

Dan Cogdell endorsed James Talarico's U.S. Senate campaign.

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AFGE

Public endorsement

AFGE endorsed James Talarico for U.S. Senate in Texas.

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Houston Chronicle Editorial Board

Public figure

The Houston Chronicle editorial board endorsed James Talarico in the general election.

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Our Revolution

Public figure

Our Revolution endorsed James Talarico for U.S. Senate.

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Texas AFT COPE

Public endorsement

Texas AFT COPE endorsed James Talarico for U.S. Senate.

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Kamala Harris

Public figure

Kamala Harris endorsed James Talarico for U.S. Senate.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$40.3M
$30.2M
$20.1M
$10.1M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$40.3M
$9.9M
$30.4M
$2.0M

Source: FEC