2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
$58.1M
NOV 7, 2028
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
JD Vance is trading at 18% to win the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleVice President
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age42 years old (Aug 2, 1984)
GenderMale
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BackgroundPolitician
EducationOhio State University (B.A.)
Notable personal detailsJames David "J.D." Vance is the 50th vice president of the United States (since January 20, 2025) and previously served as a U.S. senator from Ohio (January 3, 2023–January 10, 2025). He is a Marine Corps veteran and is known nationally as the author of the memoir "Hillbilly Elegy" (2016). Vance earned a B.A. from Ohio State University and a J.D. from Yale Law School, and worked as a lawyer and venture capitalist before entering elected office.
SourcesShowHide
Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Position shows a mix of economic populism and traditional Republican tax preferences: he has supported selective tax increases on certain corporations and wealthy actors while also supporting broad Republican tax-cut priorities and trade measures (tariffs) to offset tax changes. Policy statements emphasize taxing companies that move jobs offshore or act against U.S. interests, opposing further cuts to the corporate tax rate in some instances, and backing elements of Trump-era tax policy.
Healthcare
Supports allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices, capping insulin costs, and importing drugs; does not intend to repeal core Affordable Care Act protections and has expressed support for measures expanding access such as universal pregnancy-care coverage.
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Immigration & Border
Advocates for aggressive border enforcement including construction of a border wall and closing the border, supports large-scale deportations (prioritizing criminal migrants but endorsing sweeping removal operations), and favors stricter asylum and enforcement measures over expanded legal pathways or protections like DACA.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
JD Vance identifies as pro-life and has supported federal limits on abortion such as backing legislation to ban most abortions after 15 weeks while allowing exceptions. He has also expressed at times that he would like abortion to be illegal nationally but more recently said he would not impose a federal ban and that most policy should be set by states. His public record includes support for state restrictions, efforts to restrict access to abortion medication, and calls to defund Planned Parenthood.
Climate & Energy
JD Vance expresses skepticism about anthropogenic climate change, opposes major federal clean‑energy programs like the Inflation Reduction Act/Clean Energy Plan, and advocates expanding U.S. fossil fuel production and rolling back clean‑energy subsidies and regulations.
Public Safety & Guns
JD Vance is a strong supporter of Second Amendment rights and opposes major federal gun‑control measures. He has publicly opposed proposals such as the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act and red flag–style expansions, supported concealed‑carry reciprocity and other pro‑gun legislation, and backed rolling back or limiting ATF regulations and restrictions (including measures to deregulate suppressors).
Latest News
JD Vance is increasingly being seen as a possible 2028 Republican presidential contender, and several recent polls have put him at or near the top of the early GOP field. He has not said whether he will run, saying he will decide after the midterm elections. In the meantime, he has taken a prominent public role defending the Trump administration’s Iran deal, which has drawn criticism from some conservatives and Israeli officials. His recent remarks on Israel and Iran also sparked backlash from neoconservative commentators.
The Man After Trump
JD Vance and Marco Rubio Hold Early Lead in 2028 NH Presidential Primary Race
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Endorsements
Endorsers of JD Vance for 2028 Iowa Republican caucus winner?
Erika Kirk
Elected official
Erika Kirk endorsed J.D. Vance for president in 2028 and said Turning Point USA would support his bid.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Polls