Prediction Edge
Democrat
Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

Democratic candidate for Presidential

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Kamala Harris is trading at 8% to win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Vice President

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

Age61 years old (Oct 20, 1964)

GenderFemale

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationHoward University (B.A., 1986)

Notable personal detailsKamala Devi Harris is an American attorney and politician who served as the 49th vice president of the United States (2021–2025) and previously represented California in the U.S. Senate (2017–2021). She served as district attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011) and as attorney general of California (2011–2017). She earned a B.A. from Howard University (1986) and a J.D. from the University of California, Hastings College of the Law (1989).

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on high-income households and corporations while expanding tax credits for lower- and middle-income families and small-business relief. Proposals include raising the corporate rate to about 28%, increasing capital gains and surtaxes for millionaires, and enacting a billionaire minimum tax alongside expanded credits like an enlarged child tax credit and refundable LIFT proposals.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicare and building on the Affordable Care Act to increase coverage and reduce costs while allowing private insurers to offer plans under strict Medicare rules. Has backed measures to lower prescription drug prices and proposed expanding Medicare to cover more in-home long-term care. Previously supported Medicare-for-All language but has clarified a position that preserves a role for private insurance rather than abolishing it entirely.

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Immigration & Border

Supports creating an "earned pathway to citizenship" for undocumented immigrants while also emphasizing stronger border security and enforcement measures, including expanding personnel and tools at the border and backing restrictions on asylum processing in certain circumstances. Describes the immigration system as broken and calls for comprehensive reform that balances humane treatment and enforcement. Positions draw on her record as senator/attorney general and roles in the Biden administration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring the protections of Roe v. Wade through federal law and opposes state abortion bans; endorses codifying reproductive rights and has called for congressional action to restore those protections. Has also supported procedural changes (e.g., removing the Senate filibuster) if needed to pass legislation protecting abortion access, while framing restoration around Roe-era protections.

Climate & Energy

Has supported ambitious climate action including co-sponsoring the Green New Deal and proposing aggressive emissions and clean‑energy targets; advocated phasing out fossil fuel development on public lands and large federal clean‑energy investments, though later aligned with the Biden administration’s climate approach while moderating some earlier positions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports reinstating an assault-weapons ban and bans on high-capacity magazines, requires universal background checks, and backs red-flag (extreme-risk) laws and other federal/state measures to keep guns out of the hands of dangerous people.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 3, 2026

Kamala Harris is in the news because she has not decided whether to run for president in 2028, even as she keeps herself visible through fundraising, voting rights work, and meetings with activists and experts. Recent reports and polls still place her among the leading Democratic contenders, though support is mixed and some surveys show rivals like Gavin Newsom or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ahead or tied with her. She has also been signaling a possible future campaign by outlining a broader Democratic agenda, which has drawn criticism from Republicans and conservative commentators.

history.house.gov+57

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

University of California Irvine School of Social Ecology/Truedot
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
24%
Kamala Harris
K. Harris
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
University of California Irvine School of Social Ecology/TruedotJun 4, 2025
24.0%
University of California Irvine School of Social Ecology/TruedotJun 4, 2025
24.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 14, 2025
31.2%
Emerson CollegeApr 14, 2025
31.2%
Capitol WeeklyFeb 7, 2025
23.0%
Capitol WeeklyFeb 7, 2025
23.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising