Incumbent
Incumbent Republican candidate for Vice President
$1.5M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
JD Vance is trading at 7% to win the 2028 Republican VP nominee on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleVice President
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age42 years old (Aug 2, 1984)
GenderMale
BackgroundPolitician
EducationOhio State University (B.A.)
Notable personal detailsJames David "J.D." Vance is the 50th vice president of the United States (since January 20, 2025) and previously served as a U.S. senator from Ohio (January 3, 2023–January 10, 2025). He is a Marine Corps veteran and is known nationally as the author of the memoir "Hillbilly Elegy" (2016). Vance earned a B.A. from Ohio State University and a J.D. from Yale Law School, and worked as a lawyer and venture capitalist before entering elected office.
Position shows a mix of economic populism and traditional Republican tax preferences: he has supported selective tax increases on certain corporations and wealthy actors while also supporting broad Republican tax-cut priorities and trade measures (tariffs) to offset tax changes. Policy statements emphasize taxing companies that move jobs offshore or act against U.S. interests, opposing further cuts to the corporate tax rate in some instances, and backing elements of Trump-era tax policy.
Supports allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices, capping insulin costs, and importing drugs; does not intend to repeal core Affordable Care Act protections and has expressed support for measures expanding access such as universal pregnancy-care coverage.
Advocates for aggressive border enforcement including construction of a border wall and closing the border, supports large-scale deportations (prioritizing criminal migrants but endorsing sweeping removal operations), and favors stricter asylum and enforcement measures over expanded legal pathways or protections like DACA.
JD Vance identifies as pro-life and has supported federal limits on abortion such as backing legislation to ban most abortions after 15 weeks while allowing exceptions. He has also expressed at times that he would like abortion to be illegal nationally but more recently said he would not impose a federal ban and that most policy should be set by states. His public record includes support for state restrictions, efforts to restrict access to abortion medication, and calls to defund Planned Parenthood.
JD Vance expresses skepticism about anthropogenic climate change, opposes major federal clean‑energy programs like the Inflation Reduction Act/Clean Energy Plan, and advocates expanding U.S. fossil fuel production and rolling back clean‑energy subsidies and regulations.
JD Vance is a strong supporter of Second Amendment rights and opposes major federal gun‑control measures. He has publicly opposed proposals such as the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act and red flag–style expansions, supported concealed‑carry reciprocity and other pro‑gun legislation, and backed rolling back or limiting ATF regulations and restrictions (including measures to deregulate suppressors).
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
AP and other reporting from the Dallas GOP convention says JD Vance’s speech reinforced his status as an early frontrunner for the post-Trump race, which keeps the 2028 GOP VP/leadership market on watch for repricing.
JD Vance is increasingly being seen as a possible 2028 Republican presidential contender, and several recent polls have put him at or near the top of the early GOP field. He has not said whether he will run, saying he will decide after the midterm elections. In the meantime, he has taken a prominent public role defending the Trump administration’s Iran deal, which has drawn criticism from some conservatives and Israeli officials. His recent remarks on Israel and Iran also sparked backlash from neoconservative commentators.
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
