$48.2K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 7:28 AM UTC.
Total volume
$48.2K
24h volume
$30
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Both Iowa gubernatorial candidates now back funding the Water and Land Legacy trust, but any plan would still need legislative approval. Separately, a new Senate poll shows Republicans ahead in Iowa, with prediction markets also leaning that way. The news is mixed for the House market and does not point to a clear shift in control. The trust funding push is more of a policy signal than a clear seat change, so its effect on House control is limited. The Senate poll suggests a stronger Republican position in Iowa overall, but it does not directly move the House market much.
A Republican woman in a campaign commercial gave a grave warning about Sarah Trone Garriott, the Democratic candidate in one of Iowa’s most competitive House districts. “When it comes to our kids, Sarah is just plain dangerous,” says Shellie Flockhart, a Dallas Center city councilwoman identified in the ad by her first name. Flockhart, 55, pleaded guilty to charges related to child endangerment and driving under the influence after authorities said she drove drunk with two of her children in the car in 2017.
By HANNAH FINGERHUT DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — After Ashley Hinson dropped off her boys at school earlier this month, she saw the initials “DJT” flash on her phone. “’Ashley, it’s your favorite president,’” Iowa’s Republican nominee for U.S. Senate recently recounted to an audience of her supporters. “That’s how he introduced himself.” She had […]
It's been more than a decade since Iowa has had a Democratic governor or senator. But this year, with the incumbents retiring, both races are competitive.
The world's richest man has spent $445 million on GOP candidates and causes ahead of the midterms.
Voters will see a rematch in Iowa House District 41 in Ankeny between Republican Rep. Ryan Weldon and Democrat Molly Buck. Meet the candidates.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
