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High Impact15d

Thomas R. Suozzi

93%

Thomas R. Suozzi is now the front-runner at 93%, with an 83.0-point lead.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 New York District 3 US House Democratic Primary?

Jun 27, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 18 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

NY-03 Democratic nominee?

$2.4K

JUN 27, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$2.4K

24h volume

$11

Thomas R. Suozzi97%

D. Welch4%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

TUE 23

New York 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

Latest Insights

NY-03 Democratic nominee?

15dHigh Impact

Thomas R. Suozzi is now the front-runner at 93%, with an 83.0-point lead.

93%

News

AINews Summary

Chris Rabb has won the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District. The race was a four-way contest to replace retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. Early reporting had Ala Stanford ahead after polls closed, while Sharif Street drew union and elected-official support. The primary result appears to be settled around Rabb, which reduces uncertainty in the nomination race. The early lead for Stanford and Street's support matter less now unless later reporting changes the outcome.

Articles

TIThe Intercept21 days ago

Philadelphia Could Add to the Squad

Progressives including AOC united around Chris Rabb in the tight four-way race. The winner is almost guaranteed to prevail in November.

TBThe Boston Globe4 days ago

Trump greets farmers in Wisconsin, says he could be home watching TV

President Trump promised a quick end to the war in Iran.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat20 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution21 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

NNewsmax21 days ago

Gov. Shapiro's Clout on the Line in Pennsylvania Primaries

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's political clout and very possibly his standing as a presidential candidate in 2028 will be tested even though he is unopposed for renomination in Tuesday's Democrat primary.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer19 days ago

Chris Rabb and the Democrats’ ‘double wave’ could change America for good

Progressive Chris Rabb's Philly primary win reveals a Democratic Party moving left and back into power at the same time.

NNewsBreak20 days ago

End of an era as Schlitz, the beer that made Milwaukee famous, pours its last

It’s last call for Schlitz, the beer that made Milwaukee famous. The Pabst Brewing Co. has confirmed it is ceasing production of the iconic lager that has

NCNaked Capitalism20 days ago

AIPAC Wins in Kentucky Primary, Loses in Pennsylvania

The AIPAC-backed candidate in Kentucky's 4th Congressional district won, but two AIPAC-supported candidates lost in Pennsylvania's 3rd.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer9 days ago

Chris Rabb looks to replicate progressive victory across the country

After winning Philadelphia's heated 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, Rabb is turning his attention to supporting like-minded candidates.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

T. Suozzi

D. Welch

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

T. SuozziThomas R. Suozzi

$4.11MContrib: $3.98M

$5.07MSpent: $1.07M

$71.6KLast period: $786.2K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

D. WelchDanielle Welch

$27.3KContrib: $27.3K

$17.5KSpent: $9.8K

$652Last period: $27.3K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 New York District 3 US House Democratic Primary?

NY-03 Democratic nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-03 Democratic nominee?

News

Philadelphia Could Add to the Squad

Trump greets farmers in Wisconsin, says he could be home watching TV

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Gov. Shapiro's Clout on the Line in Pennsylvania Primaries

Chris Rabb and the Democrats’ ‘double wave’ could change America for good

End of an era as Schlitz, the beer that made Milwaukee famous, pours its last

AIPAC Wins in Kentucky Primary, Loses in Pennsylvania

Chris Rabb looks to replicate progressive victory across the country

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-03 Democratic nominee?

News

Philadelphia Could Add to the Squad

Trump greets farmers in Wisconsin, says he could be home watching TV

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Gov. Shapiro's Clout on the Line in Pennsylvania Primaries

Chris Rabb and the Democrats’ ‘double wave’ could change America for good

End of an era as Schlitz, the beer that made Milwaukee famous, pours its last

AIPAC Wins in Kentucky Primary, Loses in Pennsylvania

Chris Rabb looks to replicate progressive victory across the country

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

New York Democratic Governor nominee?

NY-07 Democratic nominee?