$2.8K
JUN 23, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 23, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $5.46M | |
| 4% | $50.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Recent coverage centers on Tom Suozzi’s positioning in New York’s 3rd District, not on a change in the Democratic nomination race. The district is still described as a competitive Long Island seat, and Suozzi is running again after winning by about 3.5 points in 2024. The news does not show a new primary challenger or a major shift in the Democratic nomination race. It suggests a relatively stable outlook, with little evidence of a change in the nominee picture.
Progressives including AOC united around Chris Rabb in the tight four-way race. The winner is almost guaranteed to prevail in November.
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
Republicans hold few competitive seats in New York, which makes each district a possibly critical pickup to expand the slim House majority.
Senator Wyden accused Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. of breaking the law by urging third-party candidates to drop out of Iowa races.
Rep. Tom Suozzi is branding himself as an anti-socialist in an effort to win reelection in one of the nation's most competitive House seats.
‘Republicans this cycle are in huge trouble in California,’ one political consultant told the Deseret News
Follow live coverage of the G7 summit, Trump on Ukraine war and the Iran deal, Israel striking Lebanon.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's political clout and very possibly his standing as a presidential candidate in 2028 will be tested even though he is unopposed for renomination in Tuesday's Democrat primary.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
T. SuozziTom Suozzi
D. WelchDanielle WelchSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
