$10.4K
MAR 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated May 27, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $112.4K | |
| 1% | $5.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The newest relevant item is a broad report that Trump-backed candidates advanced in Texas Republican primaries and runoffs. But the summaries do not name any Texas-37 Republican nominee contender or give a race-specific result. Later coverage is about other elections and does not appear to affect this market. No clear new information appears to move this market yet. The latest summaries leave the Texas-37 Republican nomination outlook unchanged and still uncertain.
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Maureen Galindo lost to Johnny Garcia after accusations of antisemitism roiled the race in recent days.
Donald Trump endorsed more than 130 candidates in Texas Republican primaries. See who made the runoff — and who Trump has and hasn't backed.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
L. PeñaLauren Peña
J. MalzahnJanet Malzahn
G. GaryGe'Neill GarySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
