$119.2K
AUG 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 6, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $719.5K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Charlie Hatcher has won the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 5th District, beating incumbent Andy Ogles. Trump then endorsed Hatcher, and the district’s redrawn lines mean most voters are new to the seat. Hatcher’s primary win and Trump endorsement likely strengthen his position in the nomination market. The redistricting adds uncertainty because the district’s electorate is largely new.
The primaries provided the first test of a House map redrawn after the Supreme Court weakened Voting Rights Act protections for minorities.
Plus, Blackburn hosts a policy summit and Cohen endorses Molder in the 5th Congressional District.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Ogles's loss was the second GOP candidate whom President Donald Trump had endorsed to lose their primary race this week.
MEMPHIS -- Tennessee primary voters picked a pair of Memphis-area lawmakers Thursday to square off in a dramatically reconfigured U.S. House seat that is central to President Donald Trump's plan to try to hold on to a slim Republican majority in the midterm congressional elections.
By David Wright, Katie Doran, CNN (CNN) — Memphis City Councilmember Jerri Green will win Tennessee’s Democratic primary for governor, CNN’s Decision Desk projects. Thursday’s primaries will set the general election matchup in a race for governor in the deep-red state as well as House races being run under a new Republican-drawn congressional map aimed
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
Tennessee's new congressional districts create strange bedfellows as they stretch from Memphis, over hundreds of miles of farmland and into Nashville's suburbs.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 26, 2026 and Jul 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
C. HatcherCharlie HatcherA. OglesAndy OglesSource: FEC
