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Who will win the 2026 Arizona District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

Jul 22, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 18 daysLast updated: Jul 4, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

$38.2K

JUL 22, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$38.2K

24h volume

$3.6K

J. Feely86%

J. Chaplik12%

M. Gress0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Chaplik’s contract fell 3 points in the last hour while Feely remains the clear favorite, keeping the primary market tilted against Chaplik heading into the July 21 primary.

13%3%

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Feely gave back some of yesterday’s gains, but he remains the clear favorite ahead of the July 21 primary, so traders should watch whether the move extends or snaps back.

78%6%

News

AINews Summary

Jay Feely is escalating attacks on John Trobough in the Arizona-01 Republican primary, with Trump backing still a key factor. Early voting has also begun in Arizona, keeping attention on the race as a likely battleground seat. The Feely-Trobough clash keeps the GOP race active but does not clearly show a frontrunner shift. Trump backing may give Feely an edge, though the overall effect remains uncertain.

Articles

NNewsweek7 days ago

Democrats Launch Centrist Group as Trump Attacks Socialists, Communists

“We are capitalist, not socialist,” a group of 15 Democrats wrote after signing a pledge onto a new centrist initiative.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News9 days ago

Arizona’s primary showdown kicks off with early voting

Here are three races worth watching.

TAThe Arizona Republic25 days ago

Swing-district Democrats clash on attack ads, party 'insiders'

Amish Shah and Marlene Galán-Woods, the two Democratic frontrunners in a swing Arizona congressional district, sparred in a TV debate.

NNewsmax2 months ago

Feely to Newsmax: Rival's Obama Ties Don't Fit Arizona GOP

Former NFL kicker Jay Feely is escalating his attacks against Republican rival John Trobough in Arizona’s pivotal 1st Congressional District race, framing the contest as a battle between a Trump-backed outsider and a former Obama administration figure.

TAThe Arizona Republic1 month ago

Who is running for Arizona governor in 2026?

The race has focused competition between Reps. Andy Biggs and David Schweikert, who want the GOP nomination to challenge Democrat Katie Hobbs.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News1 month ago

Here’s how Trump-endorsed candidates are faring in this purple state

From ‘America’s Sheriff’ to this former NFL kicker — these GOP candidates face an uphill battle

ACArizona Capitol Times2 months ago

Trump-backed CD1 candidate defends war with Iran in PBS debate

Primary contests begin in Arizona's 1st Congressional District to select a replacement for U.S. Rep. David Schweikert's seat.

AABC17News.com2 months ago

House Democrats’ campaign arm takes sides in contentious primaries key to winning midterms

By Patrick Svitek, CNN (CNN) — The House Democratic campaign arm on Monday inflamed ongoing tensions over the influence of party leadership by taking sides in several competitive primaries for battleground House seats. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee waded in by announcing its latest round of “Red to Blue” candidates, a designation that is tantamount