$34.3K
AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Wagner’s Republican-nomination price fell from 97% yesterday to 91% today, even as her market remains heavily favored. That makes the market more sensitive to any fresh news on Missouri’s still-unsettled congressional map and primary field ahead of the August 4 primary.
A. WagnerAnn WagnerSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
