Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Connecticut House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsFunds raised
99%$1.15M
1%$14.6K

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$1.9K

24h volume

$77

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Connecticut 3rd District · US House

Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context

Race Rating

Safe or unrated

Cook/270toWin 2026

Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated

Seat Dynamics

Incumbent defense

Incumbent: Rosa L. DeLauro (D)

Election Rules

Primary Aug 11, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Connecticut 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The main Connecticut development is John Larson’s primary defeat, which adds to a growing list of House incumbents losing primaries this cycle. The other recent stories are about different states or broader party strategy, so they do not materially change this district’s race. The Connecticut primary news may slightly increase attention on Democratic vulnerability, but it does not directly change the 3rd District general-election outlook. Overall market impact looks limited from these reports.

Articles
NNNBC News3 months ago

Trump administration live updates: Karoline Leavitt to step down from White House press secretary role

Get live updates and the latest news as Karoline Leavitt says she will depart as Trump’s White House press secretary and Tuesday’s primaries reveal Democratic divisions.

HCHartford Courant6 months ago

With Josh Elliott on primary ballot, Lamont’s summer gets hotter

“If I sound angry, I want you to know that I’m angry,” Elliott told Democrats in New Haven. "Great, I'm gonna get shit done. How’s that?” Lamont told reporters in reply.

CNCable News Network3 months ago

Another Democratic nail-biter in Wisconsin and other takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries

The Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin was neck-and-neck early Wednesday morning, with democratic socialist state lawmaker Francesca Hong and moderate Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley separated by less than a percentage point.

HCHartford Courant13 hours ago

CT voters head to polls today in all 169 towns

While most voters will cast their ballots on Election Day, more than 500,000 residents have already made their choices under the early voting system that started on Oct. 19.

FNFox News2 days ago

What's at stake in the 2026 midterm elections for House and Senate

Election 2026 midterms will decide House and Senate control as Republicans defend slim majorities. Governors, ballot measures on abortion rights and voter ID are also at stake.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution3 months ago

The Latest: Democratic socialist is neck and neck with moderate in Wisconsin governor primary

Primary elections are taking place in six U.S. states — Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina, Vermont and Wisconsin. Progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has won Minnesota’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary over centrist U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the latest moderate-vs.-progressive contest in the Democratic Party. In the race for governor, state House Speaker Lisa Demuth has won the GOP primary despite President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Mike Lindell, known as the MyPillow Guy. Sen. Amy Klobuchar has earned the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition. Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor is another clash between the party’s establishment and progressive wings, as democratic socialist Francesca Hong tries to rise above establishment candidate David Crowley.

UNU.S. News & World Report5 months ago

US Midterm Advertising Bill to Hit Record $11.6 Billion, Fueled by Senate Races, AdImpact Says

US News is a recognized leader in college, grad school, hospital, mutual fund, and car rankings. Track elected officials, research health conditions, and find news you can use in politics, business, health, and education.

DMDes Moines Register7 months ago

Slotkin says Democrats need to 'lose better in red areas' like Iowa

U.S. Sen. Elissa Slotkin, a Michigan Democrat, says Democrats need to "lose better in red areas" like Iowa to reclaim power and rebuild the country.

FNFox News3 months ago

10 US House incumbent lawmakers have lost 2026 primaries so far

So far 10 incumbent U.S. House lawmakers have lost their primaries while running in the 2026 election cycle, including three Republicans and seven Democrats.

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
R. DeLauro
C. Lancia
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Rosa L. DeLauroR. DeLauro
$1.15MContrib: $1.04M
$349.4KSpent: $1.03M
$57.1KLast period: $218.0K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Christopher LanciaC. Lancia
$14.6KContrib: $14.6K
$4.0KSpent: $4.4K
$247Last period: $3.9K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

CT-03 House winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Rosa DeLauro

    Will Democratic win the House race for CT-03?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC

  • Christopher Lancia

    Will Republican win the House race for CT-03?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC