Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.15M | |
| 1% | $14.6K |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$1.9K
24h volume
$77
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Connecticut 3rd District · US House
Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Rosa L. DeLauro (D)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 11, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Connecticut 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The main Connecticut development is John Larson’s primary defeat, which adds to a growing list of House incumbents losing primaries this cycle. The other recent stories are about different states or broader party strategy, so they do not materially change this district’s race. The Connecticut primary news may slightly increase attention on Democratic vulnerability, but it does not directly change the 3rd District general-election outlook. Overall market impact looks limited from these reports.
Get live updates and the latest news as Karoline Leavitt says she will depart as Trump’s White House press secretary and Tuesday’s primaries reveal Democratic divisions.

“If I sound angry, I want you to know that I’m angry,” Elliott told Democrats in New Haven. "Great, I'm gonna get shit done. How’s that?” Lamont told reporters in reply.
The Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin was neck-and-neck early Wednesday morning, with democratic socialist state lawmaker Francesca Hong and moderate Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley separated by less than a percentage point.

While most voters will cast their ballots on Election Day, more than 500,000 residents have already made their choices under the early voting system that started on Oct. 19.
Election 2026 midterms will decide House and Senate control as Republicans defend slim majorities. Governors, ballot measures on abortion rights and voter ID are also at stake.
Primary elections are taking place in six U.S. states — Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina, Vermont and Wisconsin. Progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has won Minnesota’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary over centrist U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the latest moderate-vs.-progressive contest in the Democratic Party. In the race for governor, state House Speaker Lisa Demuth has won the GOP primary despite President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Mike Lindell, known as the MyPillow Guy. Sen. Amy Klobuchar has earned the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition. Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor is another clash between the party’s establishment and progressive wings, as democratic socialist Francesca Hong tries to rise above establishment candidate David Crowley.

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U.S. Sen. Elissa Slotkin, a Michigan Democrat, says Democrats need to "lose better in red areas" like Iowa to reclaim power and rebuild the country.
So far 10 incumbent U.S. House lawmakers have lost their primaries while running in the 2026 election cycle, including three Republicans and seven Democrats.

R. DeLauroRosa L. DeLauro
C. LanciaChristopher LanciaSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for CT-03?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for CT-03?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC