$18.9K
FEB 1, 2029
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
Total volume
$18.9K
24h volume
$3
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Democrats may have a turnout edge in the next midterms if anti-Trump sentiment stays strong, but the reporting says that does not directly forecast 2028 House control. Trump is also tying a $5,000 payment pitch to Republicans keeping Congress, while 2028 GOP succession talk continues around JD Vance. The news is mixed for the House-control market. Midterm turnout dynamics may favor Democrats, but the other items are mostly about 2028 presidential speculation and do not directly change House odds.
Behind closed doors on Thursday, Vice President JD Vance urged a room full of Republicans to sell voters on the administration’s more popular achievements that he worried weren’t always breaking through.
DALLAS — Republicans descended on Dallas this week with the ostensible aim of helping their candidates win midterm elections in a difficult political environment. But for Vice President JD Vance, the moment offered a plum personal opportunity for an ambitious second-in-command. As he took the stage on Thursday night to deliver his keynote address, Vance […]
Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom told CNN's Jake Tapper he won't run for president if Kamala Harris enters the 2028 race, citing crossover.
President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance used the GOP midterm convention in Dallas to paint contrasts with Democrats and energize supporters ahead of the midterm elections.
A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend.
President Trump promised Americans a $5,000 check if Republicans win in the midterms, but it's not as simple as giving away free money. Here's why.
The liberal grassroots group wants 20,000 women to contact at least 20 friends, relatives or neighbors about voting this year.
Reports have surfaced that he is eyeing a 2028 presidential bid.
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) is one of several Democrats rumored to be laying the groundwork for a 2028 presidential campaign.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
