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Redistricting is the biggest theme: the Supreme Court let Texas use its new congressional map in 2026, and it’s expected to create more Republican-leaning House seats. Florida Republicans are also pushing a map that targets four Democratic-held seats, with lawsuits likely. In Utah’s newly redrawn 1st District, Democrats had a surprise endorsement result as the seat draws attention as a potential Democratic pickup. The Texas and Florida redistricting developments could tilt expectations toward Republicans by potentially increasing GOP-leaning seats, though legal uncertainty remains. Utah’s competitive seat news may modestly offset that for Democrats, but the net effect looks mixed.
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