Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

Which Party will control the 2026 US House?

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$115.6M

24h volume

$16.5M

D
D. Party94%
R
R. Party7%

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Election Day

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest update is that the Supreme Court blocked new mail-ballot restrictions, keeping existing voting rules in place for 2026. Recent polling and a House model both show Democrats with an edge in the fight for House control. Trump is also tying a promised dividend to Republican success, which could sharpen turnout on both sides. The polling and House model lean Democratic, while the ballot ruling mainly reduces uncertainty around voting rules. Trump’s dividend pledge may help GOP turnout, but the overall signal still favors Democrats.

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Who will control the House?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Democratic Party

    Will Democrats win the House in 2026?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:02 AM UTC

  • Republican Party

    Will Republicans win the House in 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:02 AM UTC