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Which Party will control the 2026 US House?

Name: Which Party will control the 2026 US House? — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 10:59pm ET (Nov 7, 3:59am UTC)

Which party will win the U.S. House?

$30.9M

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

86.0%

R. Party

14.0%

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Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

Search elections and candidates

Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

Search elections and candidates

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 16, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$30.9M

24h volume

$428.1K

D. Party86%

R. Party14%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Election Day

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest update is that the Supreme Court blocked new mail-ballot restrictions, keeping existing voting rules in place for 2026. Recent polling and a House model both show Democrats with an edge in the fight for House control. Trump is also tying a promised dividend to Republican success, which could sharpen turnout on both sides. The polling and House model lean Democratic, while the ballot ruling mainly reduces uncertainty around voting rules. Trump’s dividend pledge may help GOP turnout, but the overall signal still favors Democrats.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner9 hours ago

Johnson leads charge in committing millions to NRCC after Vance push

Johnson's $13 million transfer led the pack of pledges announced Tuesday, bringing his total in the 2026 cycle to nearly $100 million.

NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot11 hours ago

Taylor aims to rein in private equity in healthcare, restore Medicaid funding and ACA subsidies

Shannon Taylor, the Democratic nominee for Virginia’s 1st Congressional District representative, wants to restore healthcare funding and resources slashed by the Republican-controlled Congress over the past year, she said at a roundtable alongside care workers and union leaders in Henrico Monday afternoon. Taylor, who was first elected to her current role as Henrico County Commonwealth’s […]

NNewsweek11 hours ago

Republicans Losing to Democrats on 7 Major Midterm Issues, New Poll Shows

Republicans were trusted more than Democrats on only one issue, according to a new poll published on Tuesday.

NNewsBreak1 day ago

Trump says $5,000 dividend checks will 'happen 100 percent'

Only days after promising a $5,000 dividend to every American if Republicans kept control of Congress following November's midterm elections, President Don

CNCBS News3 days ago

CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Trump motivating both sides, Democrats have edge in seats in fight for House

Price concerns boost Democrats, and MAGA Republicans are motivated. Both parties are seen negatively, according to CBS News' latest polling.

KKRDO2 days ago

Wisconsin Rep. Tom Tiffany grows emotional describing emergency plane landing in lake and swimming to safety

CNN By Alaa Elassar, Diego Mendoza, Karina Tsui, CNN (CNN) — Wisconsin congressman Tom Tiffany was on his way home Saturday evening following a

WWTOP1 day ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Delaware’s state primary

WASHINGTON (AP) — Delaware’s Democratic U.S. senator, U.S. representative and state attorney general will go before voters in a state primary Tuesday as they se

MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 1 day ago

Supreme Court blocks sweeping mail ballot restrictions for midterm elections

In what is seen as a major blow for President Donald Trump, the court, in a 7-2 ruling, left intact existing election procedures that affect millions of voters.

BBuzzFeed5 days ago

The Problem With Donald Trump’s $5,000 Midterm Promise

The president’s money pledge also sparked accusations of “bribery” ahead of the elections.

NNewsweek13 hours ago

Mail-In Ballot Ruling Could Impact These Midterm Races Most

A Newsweek analysis finds four close House contests where a late postal overhaul would have touched much of the electorate.

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Which Party will control the 2026 US House?

Which party will win the U.S. House?

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Johnson leads charge in committing millions to NRCC after Vance push

Taylor aims to rein in private equity in healthcare, restore Medicaid funding and ACA subsidies

Republicans Losing to Democrats on 7 Major Midterm Issues, New Poll Shows

Trump says $5,000 dividend checks will 'happen 100 percent'

CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Trump motivating both sides, Democrats have edge in seats in fight for House

Wisconsin Rep. Tom Tiffany grows emotional describing emergency plane landing in lake and swimming to safety

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Delaware’s state primary

Supreme Court blocks sweeping mail ballot restrictions for midterm elections

The Problem With Donald Trump’s $5,000 Midterm Promise

Mail-In Ballot Ruling Could Impact These Midterm Races Most

Related Races

TX-15 House winner?

PA-07 House winner?

NJ-07 House winner?

MN-01 House winner?

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Johnson leads charge in committing millions to NRCC after Vance push

Taylor aims to rein in private equity in healthcare, restore Medicaid funding and ACA subsidies

Republicans Losing to Democrats on 7 Major Midterm Issues, New Poll Shows

Trump says $5,000 dividend checks will 'happen 100 percent'

CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Trump motivating both sides, Democrats have edge in seats in fight for House

Wisconsin Rep. Tom Tiffany grows emotional describing emergency plane landing in lake and swimming to safety

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Delaware’s state primary

Supreme Court blocks sweeping mail ballot restrictions for midterm elections

The Problem With Donald Trump’s $5,000 Midterm Promise

Mail-In Ballot Ruling Could Impact These Midterm Races Most

Related Races

TX-15 House winner?

PA-07 House winner?

NJ-07 House winner?

MN-01 House winner?