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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 4 US House Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 24 daysLast updated: Jul 26, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC

FL-04 Democratic nominee?

$18.5K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$18.5K

24h volume

$224

L. Holloway76%

M. Kirwan22%

B. Robinson10%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

FL-04 Democratic nominee?

LaShonda Holloway's odds in "FL-04 Democratic nominee?" are now 76%, well above the prior high of 10%.

76%66%

News

AINews Summary

The main item is a broad report that left-wing challengers are pressuring Democratic incumbents in several primaries, including one Florida seat. But the summaries do not give any direct news on the 2026 Florida 4th district Democratic nomination. Overall, there is little new market-moving information here. The update is only loosely related to this market and does not identify a Florida 4th nominee contender. It adds little direct signal and leaves the race outlook mostly unchanged.

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SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat1 month ago

How a Southern California couple may have helped swing the 4th Congressional District primary

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