FL-04 Democratic nominee?
22dKirwan’s win probability dropped from 58% to 83% in the last hour, with heavy trading volume in the market. That kind of fast repricing is actionable for traders even without a confirmed external catalyst.
83%25%
ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic
Who will win the 2026 Florida District 4 US House Democratic Primary?
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 70 daysLast updated:
FL-04 Democratic nominee?
$7.1K
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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source: Kalshi
