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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 25 US House Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 47 daysLast updated: Jul 3, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

$88.0K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$88.0K

24h volume

$11.3K

J. Moskowitz68%

O. Larkin36%

D. Schultz1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Miami-Dade’s official August 18 primary ballot lists Jared Moskowitz and Oliver Larkin, confirming the two-way Democratic primary as Larkin’s odds stay elevated after the recent labor-driven repricing.

62%27%

News

AINews Summary

Jared Moskowitz has entered the race for Florida’s newly redrawn 25th District. The old 25th was eliminated in the new map, which has also made South Florida’s Democratic races more difficult. The district is described as having leaned Republican in 2024. Moskowitz’s entry gives Democrats a clearer named contender, but the redrawn district looks tougher for the party. The market may see higher uncertainty around the nomination’s eventual strength.

Articles

TGThe Gateway Pundit29 days ago

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

White liberal women talk a good game when it comes to 'racial equity.' That is, until it interferes with their own quest for power and control.

NNNBC News9 days ago

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

House Republicans are looking to capitalize on recent redistricting developments in Florida and Virginia, with a GOP super PAC announcing it plans to spend millions more in those states this fall.

DDecrypt1 month ago

Florida Candidate Liquidates $800K in Bitcoin to Bankroll Congressional Bid

A Republican candidate jockeying to represent Florida’s 22nd Congressional District liquidated Bitcoin to help fuel his political bid.

WEWashington Examiner1 month ago

Jared Moskowitz launches bid for new Florida seat redrawn by DeSantis

The new district saw one of the more extreme shifts under the updated electoral map and is considered to be a toss-up race.

TNThe New Yorker2 months ago

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.

NDNaples Daily News15 days ago

Publishers, pilots, pardoned politicians: Who's running for FL-19?

Fifteen candidates are running for Florida's 19th Congressional District. See who is running to replace Byron Donalds.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer19 days ago

How redistricting pitted Wasserman Schultz against Black Democrats in Florida

When new maps eliminated the district of a longtime Democratic congresswoman, who is white, she decided to run in one that is historically Black.

CTChicago Tribune19 days ago

How redistricting pit Wasserman Schultz against FL Democrats

Four Black Democrats running for Congress in the same South Florida district met last week for a highly unusual discussion. Should three of them drop out and rally around a consensus Black candidate in the Democratic primary against Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz?