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2026 Florida Democratic House Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Florida Democratic House Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 18, 2026Market closes: Aug 25, 8:00am ET (Aug 25, 12:00pm UTC)

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

$836.2K

AUG 18, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 18, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Jared Moskowitz	92%	$3.00M
Oliver Larkin	9%	$689.4K
Debbie Wasserman Schultz	1%	$3.30M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$836.2K

24h volume

$48.7K

J. Moskowitz92%

O. Larkin9%

D. Schultz1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

August

TUE 25

Prediction market closes

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Jared Moskowitz has launched a campaign for Florida’s newly redrawn 25th District, making him the main reported Democrat in the race. The old FL-25 was eliminated in redistricting, which has reshaped the district and the nomination contest. The district is described as leaning Republican based on 2024 presidential results. Moskowitz’s entry gives the Democratic nomination race a clearer focal point, but the redrawn district and limited reporting keep the outlook uncertain. The new map may make the contest more competitive than before.

Articles

NYNew York Post6 hours ago

DSA Florida House candidate appears to cut interview short when journo fact-checks his Israel genocide claim

Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialists of America candidate running for Congress in Florida, appeared to cut a weekend TV interview short when the journo started fact-checking his allegation that Israel is committing genocide.

TIThe Intercept11 hours ago

A Democratic Socialist Aims to Oust a Top AIPAC Beneficiary in Florida

Oliver Larkin is trying to unseat Rep. Jared Moskowitz, who is backed by AIPAC donors and an artificial intelligence super PAC.

NYNew York Post5 days ago

Rashida Tlaib slammed for targeting Jewish House Democrats in Florida

Rep. Rashida Tlaib is facing backlash for backing primary challengers against Jewish Florida Democrats Jared Moskowitz and Debbie Wasserman Schultz.

GSGainesville Sun21 days ago

Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

Polls show that Trump has a low approval rating and Dems hold edge with voters. What races should you watch in Florida for the midterms? See toss-ups.

NYNew York Post3 days ago

What to watch in Florida's primary election

Several major races are on the ballot next week in Florida’s primary election, where voters will choose nominees to replace term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis; decide the fate of a scandal-plagued congressman and consider yet another insurgent socialist looking to unseat a centrist Democratic incumbent.

TGThe Gateway Pundit2 months ago

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

White liberal women talk a good game when it comes to 'racial equity.' That is, until it interferes with their own quest for power and control.

FNFox News4 days ago

Moskowitz faces DSA-backed challenger in Florida congressional primary

Democratic primary battles in Florida, Massachusetts and New Hampshire pit progressive candidates backed by Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren against AIPAC-supported moderates.

FNFox News5 days ago

Rashida Tlaib rallies in Florida to unseat Moskowitz, Wasserman Schultz

Rashida Tlaib is rallying in Fort Lauderdale for socialist candidates aiming to unseat Jared Moskowitz and Debbie Wasserman Schultz in Florida primaries.

NNewsweek18 days ago

Map Shows States Elon Musk's Midterm Money Machine Could Impact Most

Newsweek analysis identifies the states where a revived America PAC could have the greatest impact in 2026.

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 29, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

D. Schultz

J. Moskowitz

O. Larkin

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

D. SchultzDebbie Wasserman Schultz

$3.30MContrib: $3.25M

$1.86MSpent: $2.50M

$131.4KLast period: $152.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026

J. MoskowitzJared Moskowitz

$3.00MContrib: $2.83M

$1.88MSpent: $1.47M

$77.1KLast period: $338.9K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026

O. LarkinOliver Larkin

$689.4KContrib: $689.2K

$169.7KSpent: $519.7K

$27.4KLast period: $146.3K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

2026 Florida Democratic House Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

DSA Florida House candidate appears to cut interview short when journo fact-checks his Israel genocide claim

A Democratic Socialist Aims to Oust a Top AIPAC Beneficiary in Florida

Rashida Tlaib slammed for targeting Jewish House Democrats in Florida

Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

What to watch in Florida's primary election

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

Moskowitz faces DSA-backed challenger in Florida congressional primary

Rashida Tlaib rallies in Florida to unseat Moskowitz, Wasserman Schultz

Map Shows States Elon Musk's Midterm Money Machine Could Impact Most

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

DSA Florida House candidate appears to cut interview short when journo fact-checks his Israel genocide claim

A Democratic Socialist Aims to Oust a Top AIPAC Beneficiary in Florida

Rashida Tlaib slammed for targeting Jewish House Democrats in Florida

Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

What to watch in Florida's primary election

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

Moskowitz faces DSA-backed challenger in Florida congressional primary

Rashida Tlaib rallies in Florida to unseat Moskowitz, Wasserman Schultz

Map Shows States Elon Musk's Midterm Money Machine Could Impact Most

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

2026 Florida Democratic House Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

DSA Florida House candidate appears to cut interview short when journo fact-checks his Israel genocide claim

A Democratic Socialist Aims to Oust a Top AIPAC Beneficiary in Florida

Rashida Tlaib slammed for targeting Jewish House Democrats in Florida

Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

What to watch in Florida's primary election

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

Moskowitz faces DSA-backed challenger in Florida congressional primary

Rashida Tlaib rallies in Florida to unseat Moskowitz, Wasserman Schultz

Map Shows States Elon Musk's Midterm Money Machine Could Impact Most

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

DSA Florida House candidate appears to cut interview short when journo fact-checks his Israel genocide claim

A Democratic Socialist Aims to Oust a Top AIPAC Beneficiary in Florida

Rashida Tlaib slammed for targeting Jewish House Democrats in Florida

Which House races are toss-ups in the midterms? One is in FL

What to watch in Florida's primary election

"I didn’t think a white Democrat would be the one to take away a Black seat" * The Gateway Pundit * by Margaret Flavin

Moskowitz faces DSA-backed challenger in Florida congressional primary

Rashida Tlaib rallies in Florida to unseat Moskowitz, Wasserman Schultz

Map Shows States Elon Musk's Midterm Money Machine Could Impact Most

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?