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2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 18, 2026Market closes: Aug 18, 11:59pm ET (Aug 19, 3:59am UTC)

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

$23.5M

AUG 18, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 11, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Byron Donalds	98%	42.7%	$738.1K
James Fishback	2%	—	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 11, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$23.5M

24h volume

$1.1M

B. Donalds98%

J. Fishback2%

J. Collins0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

Prediction market closes

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Jimmy Patronis has raised $3,789,738 this cycle, but Byron Donalds holds the lead in the latest odds for the Florida Republican governor nomination.

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Byron Donalds has formally said he is running for Florida governor in 2026, and he remains the Republican frontrunner in fundraising and polling. Gov. Ron DeSantis has not endorsed anyone yet, leaving the primary open behind Donalds. Florida has also set its 2026 election calendar, with the general election on November 3. Donalds’ declared candidacy and current lead reinforce him as the frontrunner. The lack of a DeSantis endorsement leaves some uncertainty, but the race still appears tilted toward Donalds.

Articles

NNewsBreak4 days ago

Pearson wins Democratic primary, vows to ‘refuse to be turned around’ by redistricting

Justin Pearson, who gained national prominence after being expelled from the Tennessee House for supporting a gun safety protest, has won the Democratic no

GSGainesville Sun4 days ago

Can a Democratic progressive win Florida Senate, governor races?

State Rep. Angie Nixon of Jacksonville and state Rep. Dotie Joseph are aiming to upset the Republicans' power across Florida.

TDTallahassee Democrat11 days ago

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

Four prominent Republicans are vying for the party's nomination for governor. But only one, Byron Donalds, has President Trump's endorsement.

WEWashington Examiner5 days ago

Fishback claims DOJ is investigating Donalds for sex trafficking

James Fishback, citing a whistleblower, alleged Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL) solicited prostitutes twice as a sitting congressman in 2024.

TTCPalm5 days ago

What are key voter issues in Florida governor's race?

Facing an enormous cash deficit, can Democrat Jolly ride the anti-incumbent, anti-Trump wave by appealing to voters on the affordability issue.

TTCPalm2 months ago

Ahead in polls and money, what could stop Byron Donalds?

Can anything stop Byron Donalds? Far ahead in fund-raising and polling, the Republican congressman is well on his way to winning his party’s August nomination for governor.

NNNBC News2 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

TGThe Gateway Pundit3 months ago

Dirty Brad Raffensperger Loses GOP Gubernatorial Primary in Peach Tree State Shellacking!

Dirty Brad Raffensperger, the corrupt Georgia Secretary of State, came in a distant third in the Republican Party gubernatorial primary on Tuesday night.

NDNaples Daily News5 days ago

Florida governor campaigns rely on TV ads but digital catching up

Most campaigns today have a presence on platforms such as YouTube, Google, Facebook, X, TikTok and Instagram.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 8, 2026 and Jul 29, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

42.7%

14.2%

5.9%

B. Donalds

J. Collins

P. Renner

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Donalds	Collins	Renner
Polling Average	Donalds+28.5	42.7%	14.2%	5.9%
David Jay WolfsonJul 28 - 29	Donalds+16.0	46.0%	30.0%	5.9%
Quantus InsightsJul 27 - 29	Donalds+33.9	49.6%	15.7%	3.5%
Targoz Market ResearchJul 20 - 26	Donalds+30.0	47.0%	17.0%	9.0%
Targoz Market ResearchJul 20 - 26	Donalds+31.0	49.0%	18.0%	8.0%
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupJul 21 - 23	Donalds+13.4	32.2%	2.2%	18.8%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJul 14 - 16	Donalds+43.0	53.0%	10.0%	4.0%
CygnalJul 12 - 13	Donalds+32.1	43.2%	11.1%	2.3%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Donalds+23.0	37.0%	14.0%	2.0%
The Tyson GroupJul 8 - 11	Donalds+39.0	48.0%	9.0%	4.0%
David Jay WolfsonJul 2 - 6	Donalds+17.3	37.5%	20.2%	2.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 29 - 30	Donalds+20.1	32.3%	12.2%	6.7%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 8 - 9	Donalds+26.3	37.3%	11.0%	3.9%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 29, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

J. Patronis

B. Donalds

M. Gaetz

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. PatronisJimmy Patronis

$3.79MContrib: $3.67M

$935.3KSpent: $2.85M

$150.2KLast period: $186.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026

B. DonaldsByron Donalds

$738.1KContrib: $590.3K

$334.5KSpent: $2.14M

$119.1KLast period: $2.2K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

M. GaetzMatt Gaetz

$176.4KContrib: -$82

$37.3KSpent: $657.2K

$36.5KLast period: $0

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Latest Election News

Pearson wins Democratic primary, vows to ‘refuse to be turned around’ by redistricting

Can a Democratic progressive win Florida Senate, governor races?

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

Fishback claims DOJ is investigating Donalds for sex trafficking

What are key voter issues in Florida governor's race?

Ahead in polls and money, what could stop Byron Donalds?

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Dirty Brad Raffensperger Loses GOP Gubernatorial Primary in Peach Tree State Shellacking!

Florida governor campaigns rely on TV ads but digital catching up

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Latest Election News

Pearson wins Democratic primary, vows to ‘refuse to be turned around’ by redistricting

Can a Democratic progressive win Florida Senate, governor races?

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

Fishback claims DOJ is investigating Donalds for sex trafficking

What are key voter issues in Florida governor's race?

Ahead in polls and money, what could stop Byron Donalds?

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Dirty Brad Raffensperger Loses GOP Gubernatorial Primary in Peach Tree State Shellacking!

Florida governor campaigns rely on TV ads but digital catching up

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-22 Republican nominee?