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2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 18, 2026Market closes: Aug 18, 11:59pm ET (Aug 19, 3:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 5, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

$17.0M

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 5, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Byron DonaldsRepublican	98%	41.6%	$738.1K
James FishbackRepublican	2%	—	—
Paul RennerRepublican	0%	5.8%	—
Jay CollinsRepublican	0%	12.6%	—
Wilton SimpsonRepublican	0%	—	—
Matt GaetzRepublican	0%	—	$176.4K
Jimmy PatronisRepublican	0%	—	$3.60M
Casey DeSantisRepublican	0%	—	—
Charles Burkett	0%	—	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 5, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$17.0M

24h volume

$820.2K

B. Donalds98%

J. Fishback2%

P. Renner0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

Prediction market closes

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Byron Donalds has formally said he is running for Florida governor in 2026, and he remains the Republican frontrunner in fundraising and polling. Gov. Ron DeSantis has not endorsed anyone yet, leaving the primary open behind Donalds. Florida has also set its 2026 election calendar, with the general election on November 3. Donalds’ declared candidacy and current lead reinforce him as the frontrunner. The lack of a DeSantis endorsement leaves some uncertainty, but the race still appears tilted toward Donalds.

Articles

TDTallahassee Democrat6 days ago

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

Four prominent Republicans are vying for the party's nomination for governor. But only one, Byron Donalds, has President Trump's endorsement.

NDNaples Daily News3 days ago

From the governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

Florida TODAY statewide newsletter delivers a mix of news, culture and classic "only in Florida" moments

TTCPalm12 hours ago

3 ways to vote in Florida elections include mail, early voting

There are three ways to vote in Florida and the deadline for a request to vote by mail is Aug. 6.

TTCPalm1 day ago

When are 2026 Florida primary elections? Date, early voting

The 2026 Florida primary is coming up. Learn about early voting dates and how to request your mail-in ballot.

NNews-Press5 days ago

From the Florida governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

With the Florida primary weeks away, we bring you a deeper look at where the gubernatorial race stands now

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 31, 2026 and Jul 29, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

41.6%

12.6%

5.8%

B. Donalds

J. Collins

P. Renner

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Donalds	Collins	Renner
Polling Average	Donalds+29.0	41.6%	12.6%	5.8%
David Jay WolfsonJul 28 - 29	Donalds+16.0	46.0%	30.0%	5.9%
Quantus InsightsJul 27 - 29	Donalds+33.9	49.6%	15.7%	3.5%
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupJul 21 - 23	Donalds+13.4	32.2%	2.2%	18.8%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJul 14 - 16	Donalds+43.0	53.0%	10.0%	4.0%
CygnalJul 12 - 13	Donalds+32.1	43.2%	11.1%	2.3%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Donalds+23.0	37.0%	14.0%	2.0%
The Tyson GroupJul 8 - 11	Donalds+39.0	48.0%	9.0%	4.0%
David Jay WolfsonJul 2 - 6	Donalds+17.3	37.5%	20.2%	2.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 29 - 30	Donalds+20.1	32.3%	12.2%	6.7%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 8 - 9	Donalds+26.3	37.3%	11.0%	3.9%
Associated Industries of FloridaJun 3 - 7	Donalds+49.0	54.0%	5.0%	2.0%
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupMay 31 - Jun 3	Donalds+15.0	29.0%	11.0%	14.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Byron Donalds

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Byron Donalds for Florida governor.

2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

From the governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

3 ways to vote in Florida elections include mail, early voting

When are 2026 Florida primary elections? Date, early voting

From the Florida governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

From the governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

3 ways to vote in Florida elections include mail, early voting

When are 2026 Florida primary elections? Date, early voting

From the Florida governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?