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Who will win the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 63 daysLast updated: Jun 17, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

$6.0M

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$6.0M

24h volume

$96.4K

B. Donalds94%

J. Fishback6%

J. Collins1%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds's odds are up 5.1 points and are now 94% over a 3-day streak.

94%5%

News

AINews Summary

Byron Donalds has officially started campaigning and is emerging as the clear Republican frontrunner for Florida governor. A recent poll gives him a wide lead in the primary, and the field is now largely set after qualifying closed. He is running on affordability, insurance, tax relief, and conservative governance. The latest polling and campaign launch likely strengthen Donalds’ position and reduce near-term uncertainty. The market appears to be moving further toward him as the Republican nominee.

Articles

AOArkansas Online2 days ago

Alabama GOP toss residency challenge

HOOVER, Ala. -- The Alabama Republican Party said U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville will remain the party's gubernatorial nominee, rejecting a claim on Sunday that he had not lived in the state long enough to run for governor.

HHuffPost2 days ago

Rep. Byron Donalds' Literacy Campaign Sign Contains Major Error

Byron Donalds, who is running for governor of Florida, promoted a "Read to Succeed" literacy program without noticing a key word was misspelled.

BNBaltimore News19 hours ago

Byron Donalds outlines Florida vision as governor’s race begins to take shape

While speaking with The National News Desk's Jan Jeffcoat, Byron Donalds discussed his plans for affordability, housing, taxes, education, and immigration.

VVox.com23 hours ago

The case that Florida is ready to turn blue again

This former Republican congressman is Democrats’ likely nominee. Here’s his case he can win.

BNBreitbart News Network2 days ago

Rep. Byron Donalds: 'Save America Act Should Pass Immediately' but Democrats Will Not Protect Voting

The SAVE America Act should pass "immediately," but Democrats are not interested in "protecting the franchise of voting in America," Byron Donalds said.

BNBreitbart News Network2 days ago

Floridians Want Florida to 'Remain the Free State of Florida'

Floridians want their state to "remain the free state of Florida" – not radically changed by leftists – Rep. Byron Donalds told Breitbart News Saturday.

NNewsmax1 day ago

Sen. Rick Scott to Newsmax: Investigate California Election Claims

Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., defended his call for a federal investigation into alleged election irregularities in California, telling Newsmax that ballot harvesting creates opportunities for fraud and urging the Justice Department to examine claims of election-related misconduct and improper voter influence.

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review5 days ago

Field set for Florida 2026 governor race as qualifying closes

As term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis prepares to leave office, a slew of candidates are vying to take his place in the Governor’s Mansion. In the Democratic primary, six candidates officially made it onto the ballot as of 3 p.m. Friday, according to the state Division of Elections website. That includes front-runner David Jolly, a former U.S. representative who appears all but certain to clinch ...

HHerald-Tribune5 days ago

Bobby Williams runs feisty campaign for governor against big money

Bobby Williams of Winter Haven has been campaigning furiously in hopes of breaking from a field of 15 Republican candidates for Florida governor.

BNBreitbart News Network6 days ago

Backed Byron Donalds Leads Florida Gov. Primary by 46 Points

Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds leads his closest opponent in the primary race for Florida governor by 46 points, according to a new poll.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

42.3%

15.3%

6.5%

B. Donalds

C. DeSantis

J. Collins

P. Renner

C. Burkett

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Donalds	DeSantis	Collins	Renner	Burkett
Polling Average	Donalds+26.9	42.3%	15.3%	6.5%	3.1%	0.4%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 8 - 9	Donalds+26.3	37.3%	–	11.0%	3.9%	–
Associated Industries of FloridaJun 3 - 7	Donalds+49.0	54.0%	–	5.0%	2.0%	–
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Donalds+40.0	48.0%	–	8.0%	3.0%	–
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesApr 26 - 30	Donalds+47.0	54.0%	–	7.0%	2.0%	–
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchMar 25 - Apr 13	Donalds+31.0	38.0%	–	6.0%	7.0%	–
Tarrance GroupMar 30 - Apr 2	Donalds+44.0	50.0%	–	6.0%	3.0%	–
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31	Donalds+36.8	43.5%	6.7%	4.3%	2.0%	0.5%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31	Donalds+42.3	46.4%	–	4.1%	2.7%	0.3%
The American PromiseFeb 23 - 26	Donalds+40.0	44.0%	–	4.0%	2.0%	–
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabFeb 16 - 20	Donalds+4.0	28.0%	24.0%	3.0%	0.0%	–
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabFeb 16 - 20	Donalds+27.0	31.0%	–	4.0%	1.0%	–
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16	Donalds+18.0	33.0%	–	15.0%	9.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Byron Donalds

Donald Trump

Donald Trump reiterated his endorsement of Byron Donalds for Florida governor.

Learn more

Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr. endorsed Byron Donalds for Florida governor.

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James Fishback

Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson endorsed James Fishback in a January 2026 podcast appearance.

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Jimmy Patronis

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Jimmy Patronis before the April 1, 2025 special election in Florida's 1st Congressional District.

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Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Jimmy Patronis in the Florida special election for the U.S. House seat vacated by Matt Gaetz.

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Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

J. Patronis

B. Donalds

M. Gaetz

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. PatronisJimmy Patronis

$3.13MContrib: $3.04M

$507.1KSpent: $2.62M

$175.0KLast period: $139.2K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

B. DonaldsByron Donalds

$735.6KContrib: $587.8K

$418.5KSpent: $2.06M

$137.1KLast period: $14.2K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

M. GaetzMatt Gaetz

$176.4KContrib: -$82

$44.5KSpent: $650.0K

$43.3KLast period: $0

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

Who will win the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary?

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

News

Alabama GOP toss residency challenge

Rep. Byron Donalds' Literacy Campaign Sign Contains Major Error

Byron Donalds outlines Florida vision as governor’s race begins to take shape

The case that Florida is ready to turn blue again

Rep. Byron Donalds: 'Save America Act Should Pass Immediately' but Democrats Will Not Protect Voting

Floridians Want Florida to 'Remain the Free State of Florida'

Sen. Rick Scott to Newsmax: Investigate California Election Claims

Field set for Florida 2026 governor race as qualifying closes

Bobby Williams runs feisty campaign for governor against big money

Backed Byron Donalds Leads Florida Gov. Primary by 46 Points

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

News

Alabama GOP toss residency challenge

Rep. Byron Donalds' Literacy Campaign Sign Contains Major Error

Byron Donalds outlines Florida vision as governor’s race begins to take shape

The case that Florida is ready to turn blue again

Rep. Byron Donalds: 'Save America Act Should Pass Immediately' but Democrats Will Not Protect Voting

Floridians Want Florida to 'Remain the Free State of Florida'

Sen. Rick Scott to Newsmax: Investigate California Election Claims

Field set for Florida 2026 governor race as qualifying closes

Bobby Williams runs feisty campaign for governor against big money

Backed Byron Donalds Leads Florida Gov. Primary by 46 Points

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?

Florida Republican Senate nominee?