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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 7 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 25 daysLast updated: Jul 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC

FL-07 Republican nominee?

$12.2K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$12.2K

24h volume

$349

R. Elijah84%

C. Mills15%

S. Ulrich4%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

FL-07 Republican nominee?

Fresh reporting that Cory Mills denied an active DOJ probe, alongside earlier anti-Mills endorsements, keeps the race’s reputational pressure on the incumbent in focus for traders.

14%

FL-07 Republican nominee?

Ryan Elijah's odds are at 84%, breaking above the prior high of 11% in the last 60 days.

84%73%

News

AINews Summary

A Newsweek report says Democrats outraised Republican incumbents in many competitive House races, including several in Florida. Fundraising and polling are shaping expectations for 2026, and Florida redistricting could change the map. The update is broad, not specific to the FL-07 GOP primary. This is a broad warning sign for Republicans in competitive Florida races, but it does not give district-specific numbers for FL-07. It may slightly increase uncertainty around the GOP nominee’s general-election outlook.

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FNFox News1 day ago

Rep. Cory Mills denies reported DOJ probe ahead of Florida primary

Rep. Cory Mills denies DOJ investigation reports, claiming the allegations are a political attack by opponents weeks before Florida's Republican primary.