Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

High Impact12d

Cory Mills

85%

Cory Mills is now at 85% and has a 75.0-point lead in the FL-07 Republican nominee race.

ActivePrimary ElectionRepublican

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 7 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 71 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC

FL-07 Republican nominee?

$1.5K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Claim Offer$50TradeBonus

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$1.5K

24h volume

C. Mills85%

R. Elijah11%

S. Ulrich6%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

FL-07 Republican nominee?

12dHigh Impact

Cory Mills is now at 85% and has a 75.0-point lead in the FL-07 Republican nominee race.

85%

FL-07 Republican nominee?

Fresh reporting that the House ethics panel is pressing ahead with a “full and thorough” investigation of Cory Mills adds a concrete negative overhang to his FL-07 Republican nominee market, even with his odds still elevated at 85%.

85%

FL-07 Republican nominee?

10d

Mike Johnson has raised $11,418,343 this cycle, while Cory Mills holds the lead in the latest odds for the Florida 7th District Republican nomination.

News

AINews Summary

The biggest new item is that House Democrats added a Florida 7th District candidate to their Red to Blue program. Separately, Trump issued a broad round of primary endorsements that included Florida. Neither item gives direct new information on the Republican nomination contest itself. The Red to Blue inclusion may signal Democratic interest in the district, but it does not directly change the Republican nomination race. Overall, the news leaves the FL-07 GOP market mostly unchanged and still uncertain.

Articles

NNNBC News6 days ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

N5NBC 5 Chicago4 days ago

Rocky start for anti-Trump ex-Republicans in Democratic primaries

Ex-GOPers Ryan Crosswell and Geoff Duncan lost high-profile Democratic primaries last month. Up next: a test for George Conway in New York.

WEWashington Examiner5 days ago

House Democratic campaign arm bullish on 2026 elections, adds four candidates to flagship program

House Democrats' campaign arm is expanding its flagship “Red to Blue” program for the third time since it was launched.

NNewsweek7 days ago

Full List of Trump Endorsements Posted Before Key US Primaries

The president used a series of Truth Social posts to back more than 20 candidates in races across multiple states.

NNJ.com9 days ago

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Trump’s foreign policy push, eye-popping Pentagon spending, and a shaky midterm map all collide with New Jersey’s own flashpoints — from Mikie Sherrill’s budget crunch to an immigration fight unfolding in Newark — as Mike and Julie break down who’s winning, who’s scrambling, and what actually matters.

TNThe New Yorker22 days ago

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.

WEWashington Examiner13 days ago

Alabama asks Supreme Court to unblock GOP-friendly congressional map

Alabama officials asked the Supreme Court to allow the state to use a congressional map that would likely flip a Democratic seat in favor of the GOP.

NNNBC News20 days ago

Raúl Castro’s indictment marks important new chapter for the U.S. and Cuba: From the Politics Desk

In today’s edition, Andrea Mitchell examines the next chapter in U.S.-Cuba relations after Raúl Castro’s indictment.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$20M

$15M

$10M

$5M

M. Johnson

C. Mills

S. Ulrich

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. JohnsonMike Johnson

$11.42MContrib: $7.01M

$7.80MSpent: $4.87M

$540.8KLast period: $2.45M

OCTOBER QUARTERLY · Sep 30, 2025

C. MillsCory Mills

$805.3KContrib: $684.5K

$115.5KSpent: $730.7K

$48.7KLast period: $70.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

S. UlrichSarah Ulrich

$5.1KContrib: $5.1K

$3.0KSpent: $2.2K

$144Last period: $2.7K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 7 US House Republican Primary?

FL-07 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-07 Republican nominee?

FL-07 Republican nominee?

FL-07 Republican nominee?

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Rocky start for anti-Trump ex-Republicans in Democratic primaries

House Democratic campaign arm bullish on 2026 elections, adds four candidates to flagship program

Full List of Trump Endorsements Posted Before Key US Primaries

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

Alabama asks Supreme Court to unblock GOP-friendly congressional map

Raúl Castro’s indictment marks important new chapter for the U.S. and Cuba: From the Politics Desk

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-07 Republican nominee?

FL-07 Republican nominee?

FL-07 Republican nominee?

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Rocky start for anti-Trump ex-Republicans in Democratic primaries

House Democratic campaign arm bullish on 2026 elections, adds four candidates to flagship program

Full List of Trump Endorsements Posted Before Key US Primaries

Republican: Delaney Hall is uncomfortable for GOP to defend. Dem: Sherrill is doing the right thing to fight| Friendly Fire

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

Alabama asks Supreme Court to unblock GOP-friendly congressional map

Raúl Castro’s indictment marks important new chapter for the U.S. and Cuba: From the Politics Desk

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?