Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $5.25M | |
| 1% | $355.6K |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$6.2K
24h volume
$1.9K
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Indiana 2nd District · US House
Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Rudy Yakym III (R)
Election Rules
Primary May 5, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Indiana 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
There are no district-specific updates for Indiana's 2nd congressional district in the provided news. The feed mainly covers other races, including Democratic House campaigning in New Mexico and a Republican primary result in Indiana's 1st District. No clear market impact for Indiana's 2nd District from these summaries. The available news does not provide district-specific signals on the party of the winner.
Indiana voters decide races at the federal and state levels, as well as in a few local races, during the Nov. 3 general election.

The president often picked more loyal but polarizing contenders during the 2026 primary season, now some of them are behind in the polls.
Initial election results throughout Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning will say a great deal about which party prevails in the midterms.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.

The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.

Voters chose candidates to run in November's midterms.
Later voters appear to have cast more ballots for Victor Marx, over Barbara Kirkmeyer in the Republican primary for Colorado governor.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump is trying to oust one of his own party’s most independent voices: Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie.

President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.

R. YakymRudy Yakym
J. DecioJamee DecioSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-02?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for IN-02?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC