$8.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 8:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 94% | $1.86M | |
| 8% | $105.5K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans used their Dallas convention to energize voters ahead of November. Speakers, including JD Vance, pushed turnout and defended Trump. Trump’s $5,000 payment promise was also highlighted, but it would still need congressional approval. The news is broadly supportive of Republicans by emphasizing turnout and party unity. It does not provide district-specific movement, so the effect on this Indiana House market is likely limited.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
Minnesota Democrats will decide a competitive U.S. Senate primary Tuesday in another face-off between moderate and progressive candidates that could define the party’s identity heading into the...
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
The AP Top 25 poll reshuffled after Texas Longhorns topped Ohio State, but the Buckeyes' five-spot drop exposes a flaw in how voters weigh losses.
Mike Bouchard Jr. says Abdul El-Sayed's Michigan Senate primary win does not mean voters embrace socialism, citing El-Sayed's ties to Hasan Piker and defunding the police.
Texans are choosing a Republican nominee for U.S. Senate.
Texas voters will pick a Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday. U.S. Sen.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Voters in the Lone Star State will make their second attempt to nominate a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday, the electoral version of the Texas two-step.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
E. HouchinErin Houchin
B. MeyerBrad MeyerSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
