$3.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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$3.8K
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source: Kalshi
Indiana’s primary season unfolded alongside an active redistricting fight, with Trump-backed challenges to lawmakers who opposed new maps. Recent commentary says these map battles could change the shape of 2026 House races and may make some districts more competitive. The impact on this market is still unclear. The news points to redistricting as the main driver of uncertainty, which could shift the district’s partisan outlook. The effect on the market is mixed and not yet tied to a specific candidate or result.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
Pete Hegseth stumped for Ed Gallrein in Kentucky on May 18, less than 24 hours before polls opened for the state's primary election.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
The Kentucky rumble over Rep. Thomas Massie's seat in Congress is the most expensive House primary race in US history, with tens of millions of dollars spent on political advertisements and President Trump demanding that the libertarian-minded Republican be beaten.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
Republican lawmakers in Tennessee approved a new U.S. House map Thursday that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis, reshaping it to the GOP’s advantage as part of President Donald Trump’s strategy to hold on to a slim majority in the November midterm elections.
COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Tuesday's primary in Ohio set up what is expected to be one of the most expensive races for U.S. Senate this year as Republicans try to hold on to the chamber during a difficult midterm year. Meanwhile biotech billionaire Vivek Ramaswamy will face a challenge from the state's former health director as he seeks to keep the governor's office in GOP hands.
We asked our three writers: Will recent court rulings on redistricting give Republicans an advantage in the midterms?
Talarico leads John Cornyn 44% to 41%, driven by strong support among black, Latino, and college-educated voters.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
