$784.58
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$785
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The biggest update is the Trump-backed challenge to Thomas Massie in Kentucky's 4th District GOP primary, with recent polling cited as giving Ed Gallrein a narrow edge. Gallrein is also getting a high-profile appearance from Pete Hegseth. Despite that, prediction markets still favor Massie. The news slightly boosts Gallrein’s profile, but the race still looks competitive. The market may stay mixed because polling and prediction markets point in different directions.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
Spencer Pratt, like President Trump before him, is a political product of the reality-TV industrial complex. And like Trump in 2016, he has no experience in public office.
Thomas Massie, the Kentucky congressman in Trump’s crosshairs, aped the president days before big election.
U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth will join Trump-backed Republican Ed Gallrein in Northern Kentucky before the May 19 primary election.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
Rep. Thomas Massie enters his primary as a Trump target. The Middle East conflict threatens to tip Somalia into famine. And hantavirus hot spots in the U.S.
"You can tell that I’m ahead in the polls and they’re desperate," the Kentucky Republican said.
One of President Donald Trump’s most vocal critics within the Republican Party faces a tough primary challenge in Kentucky’s state primary. U.S. Rep.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
