Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Louisiana House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
LA-01 House winner?
$4.9K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
R. party
98.0%
D. party
2.6%
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$4.9K
24h volume
$58
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Louisiana 1st District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict contextRunoff possible
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Steve Scalise (R)
Election Rules
Primary May 16, 2026
Runoff: Jun 27, 2026
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Louisiana has suspended U.S. House elections after a Supreme Court ruling, putting the 2026 LA-01 race on hold. The state’s new primary system is moving ahead for other contests, but House votes will not count. That leaves this market unusually uncertain for now. The suspension makes this market highly uncertain because the House election outcome is not currently being determined. Until the race is restored or clarified, odds should remain difficult to price.
Articles
BRBaton Rouge Advocate14 hours ago
What to know about Louisiana 2026 midterm election day
Control of Congress and an unexpectedly tight Senate race between Jamie Davis and Julia Letlow are at the top of a major election. Here’s what to know.
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Midterm upheaval: The campaign is reshaping politics for Trump, Dems
Dissatisfaction with those in charge has been the default of America's dyspeptic politics for a decade. That's still true this time around.
WWBRZ24 hours ago
Polls for midterm elections now open.; see what's on the ballot when you head into the voting booth
Polls for midterm elections open at 6 a.m.; see what's on the ballot when you head into the voting booth
TWThe Washington Post2 days ago
Schumer calls Haley Stevens’s endorsement of Mike Rogers ‘a despicable betrayal’
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer had endorsed Stevens in the heated Democratic primary for the coveted Senate seat.
MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 6 days ago
Fear factor: Speaker Mike Johnson calls 10th District race part of a “contrast for America”
Speaker of the House Mike Johnson headlined a get out the vote rally for U.S. Rep. Scott Perry.
TMThe Mercury News4 days ago
For under-50 Senate hopefuls, age isn’t just a number
“Young” is a relative term in the Senate.
WWTOP4 days ago
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Louisiana on Election Day
WASHINGTON (AP) — Louisiana voters will elect leaders for federal, state and other offices on Tuesday. Here are some of the key facts about the election and dat
BRBaton Rouge Advocate5 days ago
Trump to hold rally for Julia Letlow on eve of Election Day
President Donald Trump will hold a tele-rally for Julia Letlow on the eve of Election Day in Louisiana.
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
LA-01 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Democratic party
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-01?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC
Republican party
Will Republican win the House race for LA-01?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC