$22.2K
MAY 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | $1.41M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Louisiana congressional qualifying has closed, so the November field is now set. No official Democratic nominee result for Louisiana's 2nd District has been reported in the provided news. The latest items are mostly broader House-race and redistricting coverage, not a direct update on this market. No nominee has been officially reported yet, so the market likely remains unresolved. With qualifying closed, uncertainty should narrow as the field is now set.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
Six Republicans are competing in a special primary election Tuesday to challenge Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures in November. The district's Black voting age population dropped from 48% to 40%, making it more favorable for Republicans.
Republicans are aiming to flip Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District, which was redrawn after a U.S. Supreme Court decision this year weakened the Voting Rights Act.
Voters in four of Alabama’s seven congressional districts will select U.S. House nominees Tuesday under a new map that eliminates one of the state’s two majority-Black districts currently represented by Democrats.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
T. CarterTroy CarterSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
