$37.9K
MAY 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 12% | $18.9K | |
| 2% | $7.0K | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is the Louisiana redistricting fight, including a Supreme Court ruling that struck down a majority-Black district. Qualifying has closed, so the candidate field is now set for the November election. No new LA-03 Democratic nomination-specific movement is reported. The latest information appears to be about the broader Louisiana map and filing process, not the LA-03 Democratic nomination itself. That leaves this market mostly unchanged and still uncertain.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Voters in Lafayette Parish will select candidates for district judge, district attorney, city court, and school board on Nov 3, coinciding with statewide decisions for U.S. Senate and constitutional amendments, supported by early voting at three local sites and absentee ballot options before the October 30 deadline.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. DayJohn Day
T. LeBrunTia LeBrunSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
