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High Impact12h

John Day

30%

John Day is now leading the LA-03 Democratic nominee race with 30% odds, ahead by 26.0 points.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results

Name: 2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: May 16, 2026Market closes: Nov 3, 11:00am ET (Nov 3, 3:00pm UTC)

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

$33.6K

MAY 16, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 31, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
John Day	14%	$18.9K
Tia LeBrun	6%	$7.0K
Caleb Walker	4%	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 31, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$33.6K

24h volume

$3.0K

J. Day14%

T. LeBrun6%

C. Walker4%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

November

WED 3

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

12hHigh Impact

John Day is now leading the LA-03 Democratic nominee race with 30% odds, ahead by 26.0 points.

30%

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

12h

John Day's odds in "LA-03 Democratic nominee?" are now 30%, above the previous high of 7.9%.

30%22%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Louisiana’s filing period has closed, so the candidate field for the 2026 election is now set. The biggest backdrop is the court-driven redistricting that reshaped the state’s congressional map. There is still no reported nominee outcome for this market. The market should now have less uncertainty about who can run, but the nominee outcome is still unresolved. The redistricting changes may keep expectations fluid until the official nomination result is certified.

Articles

NNNBC News3 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

WEWashington Examiner4 months ago

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.

WWBRZ24 days ago

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

WWBRZ25 days ago

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

HCHartford Courant2 months ago

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 months ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution3 months ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review4 months ago

Chief Justice John Roberts says Supreme Court is not political

HERSHEY — Supreme Court justices are not “political actors,” Chief Justice John Roberts said Wednesday, insisting unpopular court decisions are based solely on the law. “I think, at a very basic level, people think we’re making policy decisions, we’re saying we think this is how things should be, as opposed

Candidate Endorsements

John Day2

Tia LeBrun5

Caleb Walker4

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 18, 2026

$20K

$15K

$10K

$5K

J. Day

T. LeBrun

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. DayJohn Day

$18.9KContrib: $13.2K

$7.4KSpent: $17.7K

$934Last period: $2.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 18, 2026

T. LeBrunTia LeBrun

$7.0KContrib: $4.6K

$3.5KSpent: $4.1K

$216Last period: $0

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 18, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

Latest Election News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Chief Justice John Roberts says Supreme Court is not political

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

Latest Election News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

Qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region; see which candidates qualified

Second day of qualifying ends for US House, local races across Capital Region

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Chief Justice John Roberts says Supreme Court is not political

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

LA-01 Republican nominee?

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

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LA-04 Republican nominee?