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2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results

Name: 2026 Louisiana Democratic House Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: May 16, 2026Market closes: Nov 3, 11:00am ET (Nov 3, 3:00pm UTC)

LA-05 Democratic nominee?

$16.6K

MAY 16, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 22, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Dan McKay	14%	$90.0K
Jessee Fleenor	4%	—
Lindsay Garcia	4%	$65.5K
Larry Foy	2%	—
Tania Nyman	2%	$33.1K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 22, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$16.6K

24h volume

D. McKay14%

J. Fleenor4%

L. Garcia4%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Louisiana 2026 general election

November

WED 3

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

LA-05 Democratic nominee?

Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead.

14%

LA-05 Democratic nominee?

That’s a fresh high for Dan McKay in the LA-05 Democratic nominee race, up from the prior extreme of 2%.

14%12%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest update is that qualifying has closed, so the 2026 Louisiana congressional field is now set. Louisiana’s 5th District remains part of the court-driven redraw and delayed House primary process. The seat is open after Julia Letlow moved to the Senate race. With the field now set, uncertainty should ease somewhat. The open seat still leaves the Democratic nomination market dependent on the final candidate lineup and any later campaign developments.

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