Lindsay Garcia
51%24H74%Garcia’s odds rose to 73.5%, up from a prior high of 22.5% over the last 21 days.
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$12.9K
MAY 17, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Garcia’s odds rose to 73.5%, up from a prior high of 22.5% over the last 21 days.
Lindsay Garcia's odds are now 4%, past the previous low of 14%.
Lindsay Garcia's odds are now 50%, past the previous high of 22%.
The LA-05 Democratic nomination contest has been postponed as Louisiana moves to redraw its congressional map after a court ruling. Several lawsuits are trying to block the delay, citing absentee ballots already sent and returned, while the state is defending the postponement. With new maps and a new election date still unsettled, the nomination timeline remains in flux. The delay and ongoing litigation increase uncertainty around timing and even district lines, which can make nominee odds less stable. Any court ruling forcing the election back on schedule or changing the map could quickly shift pricing.
Louisiana officials said the primary election scheduled for May 16 will still be held, but votes for six congressional races will not count.
Louisiana’s decision to postpone its elections for the U.S. House after the Supreme Court’s Callais ruling is already drawing challenges in court.
Republican-led states are eying changes to boost the GOP’s gerrymandering effort at the expense of voters of color
Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry and plans to postpone elections for the U.S. House after the Supreme Court ruled the current voting map unconstitutional.
After a lawsuit was filed Thursday challenging Louisiana leaders' decision to postpone the May 16 U.S. House primary elections, Attorney General Liz Murrill responded by defending the delay.
BATON ROUGE — Multiple lawsuits have been filed in state and federal court challenging Gov. Jeff Landry's executive order suspending Louisiana's May 16 congressional primary elections after thousands of voters had already cast ballots.
Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry’s decision has set off a scramble among local election heads, GOP state legislators and candidates on both sides of the aisle.
Massachusetts representatives say the 6-3 ruling could let Republican-led states eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts, allowing them to stay in power.
2une In Previews: District 5 Republican candidates taking stage in debate ahead of election
D. McKayDan McKayL. GarciaLindsay GarciaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
