$22.2K
MAY 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 9, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 6% | $90.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest update is that qualifying has closed, so the 2026 Louisiana congressional field is now set. Louisiana’s 5th District remains part of the court-driven redraw and delayed House primary process. The seat is open after Julia Letlow moved to the Senate race. With the field now set, uncertainty should ease somewhat. The open seat still leaves the Democratic nomination market dependent on the final candidate lineup and any later campaign developments.
Julia Letlow didn’t plan on getting into politics. But the death of her husband, Luke, turned her life upside down.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Cassidy, who is running for a third term, faces difficult headwinds in the upcoming Republican primary.
That U.S. Bill Cassidy, not only a two-term incumbent but a powerful committee chair, is fighting to survive this week’s Republican primary says less about him than it does about the changing nature of American politics, columnist Stephanie Grace writes.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
Louisiana officials said the primary election scheduled for May 16 will still be held, but votes for six congressional races will not count.
Ogles's loss was the second GOP candidate whom President Donald Trump had endorsed to lose their primary race this week.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. McKayDan McKay
L. GarciaLindsay Garcia
T. NymanTania NymanSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
