$60.9K
MAY 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 22, 2026, 5:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 2% | $555.7K | |
| 2% | $8.9K | |
| 2% | $6.61M | |
| 2% | $37.8K | |
| 2% | $530.6K | |
| 1% | $2.98M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Qualifying has closed, so the candidate field for Louisiana's 5th District is now set for the November election. The race is unfolding under a newly redrawn map after court rulings. No Republican nominee has been reported yet. The market should stay focused on the filed candidate field, since no nomination result has been reported yet. The new map and closed qualifying may increase attention, but they do not yet point to a clear favorite.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Cassidy, who is running for a third term, faces difficult headwinds in the upcoming Republican primary.
Ogles's loss was the second GOP candidate whom President Donald Trump had endorsed to lose their primary race this week.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke Thursday about Louisiana's new congressional map that Gov. Jeff Landry ultimately approved on Friday after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision.
The congresswoman makes the best case that she's prepared to make an immediate impact if elected to succeed Sen. Bill Cassidy, the newspaper believes.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 4, 2026 and Apr 7, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. MiguezBlake MiguezM. EcholsMichael EcholsM. CordellMisti CordellR. EdmondsRick Edmonds
S. WyattSammy WyattM. MebruerMichael MebruerA. MageeAustin MageeSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
