Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 8% | $555.7K | |
| 6% | $2.98M | |
| 2% | $37.8K | |
| 2% | $299.4K | |
| 1% | $8.9K | |
| 1% | $6.61M |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$79.8K
24h volume
$3.8K
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Louisiana 5th District · US House
Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
Seat Dynamics
Open seat
Incumbent: Julia Letlow (R)
Election Rules
Primary May 16, 2026
Runoff: Jun 27, 2026
General: Nov 3, 2026
Why it matters
The seat is open, so candidate quality and fundraising can matter more than incumbency.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Louisiana 2026 general election
November
WED 3
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Qualifying has closed, so the candidate field for Louisiana's 5th District is now set for the November election. The race is unfolding under a newly redrawn map after court rulings. No Republican nominee has been reported yet. The market should stay focused on the filed candidate field, since no nomination result has been reported yet. The new map and closed qualifying may increase attention, but they do not yet point to a clear favorite.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Cassidy, who is running for a third term, faces difficult headwinds in the upcoming Republican primary.
Early voting begins Tuesday for mid-term elections in Louisiana. Here's what to know before going to the polls.

Julia Letlow didn’t plan on getting into politics. But the death of her husband, Luke, turned her life upside down.
Ogles's loss was the second GOP candidate whom President Donald Trump had endorsed to lose their primary race this week.

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region

U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke Thursday about Louisiana's new congressional map that Gov. Jeff Landry ultimately approved on Friday after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision.

The congresswoman makes the best case that she's prepared to make an immediate impact if elected to succeed Sen. Bill Cassidy, the newspaper believes.





| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Echols | Edmonds | Cordell | Magee | Mebruer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedrock PollingApr 4 - 7 | Echols+10.0 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
B. MiguezBlake Miguez
M. EcholsMichael Echols
M. CordellMisti Cordell
R. EdmondsRick Edmonds
S. WyattSammy Wyatt
M. MebruerMichael Mebruer
A. MageeAustin MageeSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Will Sammy Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC