$44.3K
NOV 3, 2027Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 8, 2026, 6:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| Michael EcholsRepublican | 5% | $2.98M |
| Misti CordellRepublican | 4% | $555.7K |
| Rick EdmondsRepublican | 2% | $530.6K |
| Austin MageeRepublican | 2% | $8.9K |
| Blake MiguezRepublican | 2% | $6.61M |
| Michael MebruerRepublican | 2% | $37.8K |
| Sammy WyattRepublican | 2% | $299.4K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Louisiana has approved a new congressional map that is expected to favor Republicans. Gov. Jeff Landry signed it after the Supreme Court struck down the old map. The plan could still face further court challenges. The map change likely improves the Republican environment in Louisiana, but any effect on this nomination market is indirect. Ongoing legal challenges could keep uncertainty elevated.
Ogles's loss was the second GOP candidate whom President Donald Trump had endorsed to lose their primary race this week.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Memphis voters say they’re frustrated with what they felt was a bald move by the Republican-controlled Legislature to eliminate Tennessee’s only Democratic representative in Congress and dilute the will of the majority-Black city.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Cassidy, who is running for a third term, faces difficult headwinds in the upcoming Republican primary.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke Thursday about Louisiana's new congressional map that Gov. Jeff Landry ultimately approved on Friday after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision.
The congresswoman makes the best case that she's prepared to make an immediate impact if elected to succeed Sen. Bill Cassidy, the newspaper believes.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 4, 2026 and Apr 7, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Dr. Sammy Wyatt
Dr. Sammy Wyatt endorsed Misti Cordell after suspending his congressional campaign.
Louisiana Cotton & Grain Association
Louisiana Cotton & Grain Association endorsed Misti Cordell.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Blake Miguez for Louisiana's 5th Congressional District race.
Club for Growth PAC
Club for Growth PAC endorsed Blake Miguez in Louisiana's 5th Congressional District race.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. MiguezBlake MiguezM. EcholsMichael EcholsM. CordellMisti CordellR. EdmondsRick Edmonds
S. WyattSammy WyattM. MebruerMichael MebruerA. MageeAustin MageeSource: FEC
