$2.6K
NOV 3, 2027Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
New reporting says Louisiana senators have passed a revised congressional map that could flip LA-06 toward Republicans and postpone the House primary until new districts are set, keeping this nominee market tied to an active redistricting fight rather than a settled field.
Pertis Herman Williams III's odds are now 8%, past the previous low of 20%.
Louisiana’s congressional map is still being redrawn after the Supreme Court struck down the old districts. The proposed plan could help Republicans in the 2026 midterms, and House primaries remain on hold while the map is finalized. Redistricting keeps the nomination picture unsettled and may change the district’s political environment. The immediate effect is more uncertainty rather than a clear boost for any one Republican candidate.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
By The Associated Press There are primary elections Tuesday in Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Pennsylvania. These contests will be a further test of President Donald Trump’s grip on Republican voters. When can we expect to see vote results tonight Kentucky will release the first results of the night. In the 2024 primaries, the […]
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana's congressional map, state senators on Thursday are to consider a plan that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the November midterm elections.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
C. JohnsonCliff Johnson
M. AppeaningMonique Appeaning
L. DavisLarry DavisSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
