$13.7K
MAY 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 7% | $104.3K | |
| 2% | $22.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Louisiana’s 6th District field is now set, with ten candidates qualified after redistricting. The new map dismantles the old district and could favor Republicans if it holds up in court. Party primaries are scheduled for November 3. The new map and open field likely keep the Republican nominee race fluid for now. Qualification is complete, but the crowded field adds uncertainty until the primary takes shape.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana's congressional map, state senators on Thursday are to consider a plan that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the November midterm elections.
Voters in four of Alabama’s seven congressional districts will select U.S. House nominees Tuesday under a new map that eliminates one of the state’s two majority-Black districts currently represented by Democrats.
BATON ROUGE — Qualifying closed for hundreds of races in Louisiana, including for Louisiana's redrawn congressional districts.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Gov. Gavin Newsom scored a three-point political play last year when the Legislature and voters approved a mid-decade reconfiguration of the state’s 52 congressional districts. The gerrymander aimed to shift […]
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Louisiana’s Republican legislature gave final approval to a new congressional map that eliminates one of the state’s two Black-majority districts and would likely lead to a one-seat GOP pickup in the November election if upheld in court.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. AppeaningMonique Appeaning
L. DavisLarry DavisSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
