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Who will win the 2026 New Hampshire District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

Sep 9, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 46 daysLast updated: Jul 25, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC

NH-01 Republican nominee?

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SEP 9, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$4.8K

24h volume

$80

A. DiLorenzo85%

H. Noveletsky12%

M. Bailey1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

September

TUE 8

New Hampshire 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New Hampshire 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

The main New Hampshire item is a Republican messaging push that focuses on personal traits of younger Democratic candidates. It does not report a new entrant, endorsement, or polling move in the NH-01 Republican nomination race. Overall, there is little direct evidence here to move the market. The update appears to be mostly messaging-related and does not clearly shift the nomination odds. Market uncertainty likely remains high without new candidate or polling news.

Articles

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

Senate race may be 'closer than people think'

This year’s US Senate primary has largely hummed to at a lower wattage despite some signs it’s starting to heat up.

SSlate2 months ago

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

The current Supreme Court seems completely comfortable that we might return to the days in which states create winner-take-all congressional delegations.

WEWashington Examiner11 days ago

Pete Buttigieg keeps 2028 White House bid on the table

When asked during a Des Moines event whether he would rule out a 2028 bid, Buttigieg simply responded, “Nope.”

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

The Massachusetts legislative races to watch

A handful of state legislative races have the potential to get interesting this September and November — whether a result of unfinished business, intra-party combat, or a rare open seat.

AABC17News.com1 month ago

Zohran Mamdani’s influence over Democrats put to the test, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s elections

By Aaron Blake, Eric Bradner, CNN (CNN) — New York’s primaries on Tuesday will test just how influential Mayor Zohran Mamdani is with voters six months into his tenure and offer a preview of the ideological battles to come as Democrats look ahead to the 2028 presidential primary. The democratic socialist’s decision to endorse candidates

TBThe Boston Globe1 month ago

What Seth Moulton's campaign is telling his super PAC

With just over 10 weeks until the primary against US Senator Ed Markey, Seth Moulton’s campaign has turned to a practice known as “red-boxing,” a wink-and-nod communication tactic.

AABC17News.com1 month ago

From New York to Seattle to DC, more cities are picking democratic socialist leaders

By Arit John, David Wright, CNN (CNN) — On the night of the Democratic primary to be the next mayor of Washington, DC, Janeese Lewis George pushed back on those who doubted the movement that had formed behind her. Despite speculation that she was primarily drawing support from wealthier, White residents and DC transplants, election

TAThe Associated Press1 month ago

Mamdani and Sanders to rally with New York candidates ahead of primary

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is testing the limits of his newfound political muscle in a bid to reshape the Democratic Party, even if it means challenging his own party’s leadership.

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

Marty Walsh making push for Dan Koh, again

Walsh has been leaning on local labor leaders as their members weigh whether to endorse his former chief of staff, Dan Koh, or five other Democrats in the Sixth Congressional District primary.

TTIME2 months ago

Why Republicans Keep Talking About James Talarico's Girlfriend

Republicans want voters to talk about James Talarico's girlfriend and his diet instead of policy in the Texas Senate race. Here's why:

Polls

Polling Average

15%10%5%0%

11.5%

5.4%

H. Noveletsky

A. DiLorenzo

B. Cole

M. Bailey

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Noveletsky	DiLorenzo	Cole	Bailey
Polling Average	Noveletsky+2.5	11.5%	9.0%	5.4%	2.2%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterJun 24 - 25	Noveletsky+3.0	16.0%	13.0%	8.0%	2.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19	Noveletsky+5.0	15.0%	10.0%	4.0%	4.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterNov 18 - 19	Cole+0.0	5.0%	4.0%	5.0%	2.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23	Noveletsky+5.0	10.0%	–	5.0%	0.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterAug 26 - 27	Cole+2.0	–	–	5.0%	3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Anthony DiLorenzo

Donald Trump

President Donald Trump endorsed Anthony DiLorenzo in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary.

Who will win the 2026 New Hampshire District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

NH-01 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Senate race may be 'closer than people think'

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

Pete Buttigieg keeps 2028 White House bid on the table

The Massachusetts legislative races to watch

Zohran Mamdani’s influence over Democrats put to the test, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s elections

What Seth Moulton's campaign is telling his super PAC

From New York to Seattle to DC, more cities are picking democratic socialist leaders

Mamdani and Sanders to rally with New York candidates ahead of primary

Marty Walsh making push for Dan Koh, again

Why Republicans Keep Talking About James Talarico's Girlfriend

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

New Hampshire Senate winner?

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

NH-02 Republican nominee?

Upcoming Events

News

Senate race may be 'closer than people think'

One weird trick Sam Alito used to kill voting rights.

Pete Buttigieg keeps 2028 White House bid on the table

The Massachusetts legislative races to watch

Zohran Mamdani’s influence over Democrats put to the test, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s elections

What Seth Moulton's campaign is telling his super PAC

From New York to Seattle to DC, more cities are picking democratic socialist leaders

Mamdani and Sanders to rally with New York candidates ahead of primary

Marty Walsh making push for Dan Koh, again

Why Republicans Keep Talking About James Talarico's Girlfriend

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

New Hampshire Senate winner?

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

NH-02 Republican nominee?